Forecasting Dengue: Evaluating the Role of Hydroclimate Information in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction. [PDF]
GeohealthBeal MRW +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Efficient Tests of the Seasonal Unit Root Hypothesis* [PDF]
In this paper we derive, under the assumption of Gaussian errors with known error covariance matrix, asymptotic local power bounds for seasonal unit root tests for both known and unknown deterministic scenarios and for an arbitrary seasonal aspect.
A.M. Robert Taylor, Paulo M.M. Rodrigues
core
Firm turnover under asymmetric information: Tanzania's agro‐dealer sector
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.Abstract We study firm turnover (i.e., entry and exit) and its consumer implications in a market characterized by asymmetric information. Using a three‐round census of agro‐dealers in Tanzania's Morogoro Region, we document annual firm entry and exit rates of 33% and 17%, respectively.
Alix Naugler +3 more
wiley +1 more source
A robust empirical seasonal prediction of winter NAO and surface climate. [PDF]
Sci Rep, 2017 Wang L, Ting M, Kushner PJ.
europepmc +1 more source
Reliability of seasonal-to-decadal forecasts from a seamless prediction perspective
, 2013 This contribution looks at the reliability of probabilistic predictions from months to seasons and decades ahead using the coupled ECMWF forecasting system. The effect of different averaging and lead times will be discussed and the relative importance of
A Weisheimer, S Corti
core
High‐elevation endemic plants predicted to lose habitat from changing climate in Washington State
American Journal of Botany, EarlyView.Abstract Premise High‐elevation plants face unique challenges from potential climate change impacts that will likely require upslope migration into increasingly smaller suitable habitat. This situation is particularly acute for endemic species that by definition occupy small geographic ranges.
Nicholas L. Gjording +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Ionic Liquid Electrolytes for Extreme Temperature Conditions: Challenges and Perspective
Angewandte Chemie, EarlyView.Ionic liquids (ILs) have gained great attention as safe electrolyte components in recent years. This review elucidates the temperature effects on IL‐based electrolytes from molecular configurations, physicochemical properties, and interfacial chemistry, raises the challenges and design strategies operating at low‐ and HT, providing valuable guidance ...
En Xie +11 more
wiley +2 more sources
A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality [PDF]
We present an approach to improve forecast accuracy by simultaneously forecasting a group of products that exhibit similar seasonal demand patterns. Better seasonality estimates can be made by using information on all products in a group, and using these
Rob J. Hyndman +3 more
core
American Journal of Botany, EarlyView.Abstract Premise Climate change is altering the timing of many plant phenological events, yet most studies focus on flowering, with less attention given to later reproductive stages such as fruit development and ripening. Vaccinium angustifolium (lowbush blueberry) is an important perennial berry species that may be sensitive to these changes.
Jenna Floyd +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Seasonal prediction of the distribution of three major malaria vectors in China: Based on an ecological niche model. [PDF]
PLoS Negl Trop DisAn Q, Li Y, Sun Z, Gao X, Wang H.
europepmc +1 more source