Evaluation and assimilation of Arctic Weather Satellite data in the AROME‐Arctic forecast system
The Arctic Weather Satellite (AWS), launched in August 2024, is a prototype for the future EPS–Sterna constellation of small satellites carrying an innovative microwave sounder. We present the first assessment of AWS in the regional AROME‐Arctic numerical weather prediction system, covering post‐launch calibration results and the impact of AWS ...
Stéphanie Guedj +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Diversity of Stratospheric Error Growth Across Subseasonal Prediction Systems
The stratosphere has previously been shown to be a significant source of subseasonal tropospheric predictability. The ability of ensemble prediction systems to appropriately exploit this depends on their ability to reproduce the statistical properties of
R. W. Lee, A. J. Charlton‐Perez
doaj +1 more source
Rare Lightning and Convection Characteristics During Two Successive Tornadoes in Southern China
ABSTRACT Systematic investigations into lightning characteristics of tornado storms in China remain scarce. This study comprehensively analyses rare lightning behaviour and overshooting top characteristics for two successive tornadoes during a long‐lived supercell in southern China on 27 April 2024.
Fengquan Li +9 more
wiley +1 more source
A global non-hydrostatic model study of a downward coupling through the tropical tropopause layer during a stratospheric sudden warming [PDF]
The dynamical coupling process between the stratosphere and troposphere in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) during a~stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) in boreal winter was investigated using simulation data from a global non-hydrostatic model (NICAM)
N. Eguchi, K. Kodera, T. Nasuno
doaj +1 more source
Submonthly Polar Vortex Variability and Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling in the Arctic
Abstract A principal component analysis is performed to characterize intraseasonal variability in the boreal stratospheric polar vortex. In contrast to previous studies, the current analysis examines daily zonal-mean variability within a limited spatial domain encompassing the stratospheric polar vortex.
Robert X. Black, Brent A. McDaniel
openaire +2 more sources
Meridional Wind in the Upper Stratosphere: A Source of Winter NAO Predictability
Improvement of subseasonal to seasonal North Atlantic winter forecasting requires better prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the dominant mode of variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Despite recent research demonstrating the importance
Elizabeth Collingwood +6 more
doaj +1 more source
The tropospheric response to zonally asymmetric momentum torques: implications for the downward response to wave reflection and SSW events [PDF]
The role of zonal structure in the stratospheric polar vortex for the surface response to weak vortex states and concurrently occurring wave reflection events is isolated using an intermediate-complexity moist general circulation model.
W. Ning +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Stratosphere-troposphere coupling under the extreme conditions of the No-Montreal-Protocol scenario
The Montreal Protocol and its amendments (MPA) have been a major success in preventing serious health damage from the destruction of the stratospheric ozone layer by chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). Additionally, unabated CFC emissions would have significantly accelerated global warming and affected large-scale tropospheric circulation.
Timofei Sukhodolov +8 more
openaire +2 more sources
Abstract Southern Hemisphere (SH) circulation and surface climate changes are emerging in recent decades. For example, in most seasons, the SH Hadley cell edge and the eddy‐driven jet stream have shifted polewards, and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) has trended towards its positive phase.
Leandro B. Díaz +25 more
wiley +1 more source
Intraseasonal Linkages of Winter Surface Air Temperature Between Eurasia and North America
Wintertime temperature extremes sometimes show a continental linkage between Eurasia and North America (NA), but whether these connections are coincidental or dynamically robust remains unclear.
Xiaocen Shen +3 more
doaj +1 more source

