Results 241 to 250 of about 1,871,243 (292)
Some of the next articles are maybe not open access.
UPDATING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1982Abstract Jeffrey's rule for revising a probability P to a new probability P* based on new probabilities P* (Ei ) on a partition {Ei } i = 1 n is P*(A) = Σ P(A| Ei ) P* (Ei ). Jeffrey's rule is applicable if it is judged that P* (A | Ei ) = P(A | Ei ) for all A and i. This article discusses some of the mathematical properties of this rule, connecting it
Persi Diaconis, Sandy L. Zabell
openaire +1 more source
Are Subjective Probabilities Probabilities?
1974While it certainly has proved expedient to describe people’s behavior in terms of probabilities, it is not clear whether, to what extent, or under what conditions, it is admissable to identify actual behavior with some reasonably well-fitting probabilistic description of it. What the authors call the confusion problem arises where such admissibility is
Gerard de Zeeuw, Willem A. Wagenaar
openaire +1 more source
Subjective probability and indifference
Analysis, 1983This axiom is read: If it is not the case that p is epistemically preferable to q, and it is not the case that q is epistemically preferable to r, then it is not the case that p is epistemically preferable to r. Peter Millican has pointed out that my argument against (A2) is unsound if epistemic preferability is given a probabilistic interpretation ...
openaire +1 more source
2021
Subjective probability aims to solve a big problem: how to calculate probability when none of the definitions examined in the previous chapters is applicable. The probability that it will rain tomorrow, that a newly graduated student will find a job, or that a basketball player will pass the basket record are examples of the subjective conception of ...
openaire +1 more source
Subjective probability aims to solve a big problem: how to calculate probability when none of the definitions examined in the previous chapters is applicable. The probability that it will rain tomorrow, that a newly graduated student will find a job, or that a basketball player will pass the basket record are examples of the subjective conception of ...
openaire +1 more source
The Logic of Subjective Probability
The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 1973There is a sense in which our logics of truth and of certainty should coincide. They should satisfy what I call the logical correspondence principle. By a logic of truth I mean a system of logic such as the propositional calculus of Whitehead and Russell (PC) the theorems of which are truth tautologies, (i.e.
openaire +2 more sources
ON SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY REVISION
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 1972A simple one‐parameter model is proposed for the behaviour of conservative subjects in a probability revision task. The model exhibits several features of experimental data, makes specific predictions and provides a useful norm in a somewhat confused and inconsistent area of research.
openaire +1 more source
Subjective probabilities on “small” domains
Journal of Economic Theory, 2007zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
openaire +1 more source
Effort and subjective probability.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1965H H, JOHNSON, I D, STEINER
openaire +2 more sources