Results 41 to 50 of about 1,756 (159)

Sentiments in SVARs [PDF]

open access: yesThe Economic Journal, 2018
This paper investigates the contribution of sentiments shocks to US fluctuations in a Structural VAR setup with long, medium and short run restrictions. Sentiments shocks are identified as shocks orthogonal to fundamentals that accounts for most of the variance of confidence.
Fève, Patrick, Guay, Alain
openaire   +5 more sources

Financial Time Series Uncertainty: A Review of Probabilistic AI Applications

open access: yesJournal of Economic Surveys, Volume 40, Issue 2, Page 915-953, April 2026.
ABSTRACT Probabilistic machine learning models offer a distinct advantage over traditional deterministic approaches by quantifying both epistemic uncertainty (stemming from limited data or model knowledge) and aleatoric uncertainty (due to inherent randomness in the data), along with full distributional forecasts.
Sivert Eggen   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Empirical Literature on Fiscal Multipliers: A Bibliometric Approach, 2002–2023

open access: yesJournal of Economic Surveys, Volume 40, Issue 2, Page 783-820, April 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper reviews the empirical literature on fiscal multipliers through a bibliometric approach, analyzing 337 journal articles published between 2002 and 2023. The articles are categorized based on empirical methodologies, fiscal shock identification strategies, geographic focus, exchange rate arrangements, and macro‐financial regime ...
Margarida Correia Varela   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Inference in Bayesian Proxy-SVARs [PDF]

open access: yesFederal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Working Papers, 2018
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Arias, Jonas E.   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey

open access: yesJournal of Economic Surveys, Volume 40, Issue 2, Page 1050-1082, April 2026.
ABSTRACT This survey synthesizes evidence on the bidirectional links between commodity markets and monetary policy. On the commodities‐to‐policy side, we review how shocks to energy, food, and metals pass through to inflation, inflation expectations, economic activity, and financial stability in state‐dependent ways that vary by shock type, exposure ...
Martin T. Bohl   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Incidence of Dutch Disease in the Agriculture Sector of Iran 1367-1386 [PDF]

open access: yesFaslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī, 2011
This paper examines the incidence of Dutch Disease symptoms in the agriculture sector of Iran, by applying SVAR modeling to quarterly data of twenty years span, from1367-1386 our findings do not reveal any significant relation between oil prices, and ...
Javid Bahrami, Maryam Farshchi
doaj  

Monetary Policy Transmission and the Labour Market in the Non‑eurozone Visegrad Group Countries in 2000–2014. Evidence from a SVAR Analysis

open access: yesComparative Economic Research, 2017
This paper is aimed at filling the gap in existing economic research by delivering new evidence on the money‑labour nexus in the emerging markets of the non‑eurozone Visegrad group countries (i.e. Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland).
Przemysław Włodarczyk
doaj   +1 more source

Waves of Uncertainty: Crude Oil Under Geopolitical, Economic, and ESG Turbulence

open access: yesEnergy Science &Engineering, Volume 14, Issue 3, Page 1258-1272, March 2026.
Dynamic copula and wavelet coherence reveal that geopolitical, economic, and sustainability uncertainties significantly shape crude oil price co‐movements. Long‐term coherence, especially post‐2015, highlights the growing role of ESG risks alongside geopolitical shocks and economic crises in global energy risk transmission.
Sana Braiek   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting With Machine Learning Shadow‐Rate VARs

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 2, Page 770-786, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Interest rates are fundamental in macroeconomic modeling. Recent studies integrate the effective lower bound (ELB) into vector autoregressions (VARs). This paper studies shadow‐rate VARs by using interest rates as a latent variable near the ELB to estimate their shadow‐rate values.
Michael Grammatikopoulos
wiley   +1 more source

Between Pedagogical Quality and Educational Needs—A Bernsteinian Analysis of K–12 Remote Teaching Policy Regulation

open access: yesEuropean Journal of Education, Volume 61, Issue 1, March 2026.
ABSTRACT This study analyses the interrelation between policy regulation and K–12 remote teaching, an increasingly used pedagogic practice worldwide. By applying Bernstein's conceptual framework, it analyses the struggle between the official recontextualisation field (ORF) and the pedagogical recontextualisation field (PRF) that underpins K–12 remote ...
Simon Skog
wiley   +1 more source

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