Results 201 to 210 of about 42,888 (286)

How consistently do ensemble prediction systems represent the growth of atmospheric uncertainty?

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Spread‐based diagnostics calculated for 12 ensemble prediction systems are compared to understand the consistency with which they represent atmospheric uncertainty growth. Good correlation between all these systems is found in the extratropics for a lead time range from 48 hr to between 96 hr and 192 hr.
Douglas Wood   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluating the realism of double moment parameterised particle size distributions in a midlatitude frontal ice cloud with complex microphysics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Uncertainties in the representation of ice particle size distributions (PSDs) cause inaccuracies in parameterisations of clouds. In this study, observed PSDs from a midlatitude frontal case study are compared with gamma PSDs with the same concentration and ice water content.
Rosie M. Mammatt   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A new method to identify and explain sources of precipitation modification, illustrated for the western Netherlands

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study develops a method to identify the source areas of precipitation events, as illustrated for the western part of the Netherlands. Radar‐based precipitation data are traced back to their source areas and machine‐learning techniques are used to identify hypothesized causes: urban heat, surface roughness, and air pollution. We find that urban and
Jelmer van der Graaff   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Stratospheric and tropospheric seasonality and its implications for observation requirements in numerical weather prediction

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Daily time series of zonal‐mean zonal wind (m·s−1) at 10 hPa and 60° N from 1950 to 2021 from the ERA5 reanalysis. This shows huge variability in some seasons and very little in others. We provide evidence that high‐level observations, radiosonde and satellite, are more important during the extended winter season with its very large variability ...
Bruce Ingleby, Inna Polichtchouk
wiley   +1 more source

NowPrecip 2: Precipitation nowcasting in the complex terrain of Switzerland. Part II: Verification

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
In this work we present the verification of the NowPrecip precipitation nowcasting systems (version 1 and version 2). Using 3.5 years of data over the period 2020–2023, their performance is compared with PySTEPS and the ICON numerical weather prediction ensemble by computing deterministic and probabilistic metrics.
A. Ntoumos   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

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