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Quantifying Causal Pathways of Teleconnections [PDF]
Abstract Teleconnections are sources of predictability for regional weather and climate, but the relative contributions of different teleconnections to regional anomalies are usually not understood. While physical knowledge about the involved mechanisms is often available, how to quantify a particular causal pathway from data are usually unclear. Here,
Kretschmer, M. +6 more
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Profiling the hydrological response of watershed precipitation and streamflow to large-scale circulation patterns and astronomical factors provides novel information into the scientific management and prediction of regional water resources.
Ruting Yang, Bing Xing
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Previous studies have shown that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have combined effects on the precipitation (PRP) variability over South America.
Mary T. Kayano +6 more
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This paper examines the effects of the tropical Pacific Ocean (TPO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) modes in the interannual variations of austral spring rainfall over South America (SA). The TPO mode refers to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).
Mary T. Kayano +5 more
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Troubles with teleconnections [PDF]
<p>Rotated principal component analysis (RPCA) is a commonly used tool to detect modes of low-frequency atmospheric circulation variability, also referred to as teleconnections. Teleconnections manifest themselves as distant areas of high negative or positive correlations in sea level pressure, geopotential height, or another variable ...
Radan Huth +3 more
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Who Learns Better Bayesian Network Structures: Accuracy and Speed of Structure Learning Algorithms [PDF]
Three classes of algorithms to learn the structure of Bayesian networks from data are common in the literature: constraint-based algorithms, which use conditional independence tests to learn the dependence structure of the data; score-based algorithms ...
Graafland, Catharina Elisabeth +2 more
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The role of the basic state in the ENSO-monsoon relationship and implications for predictability [PDF]
The impact of systematic model errors on a coupled simulation of the Asian Summer monsoon and its interannual variability is studied. Although the mean monsoon climate is reasonably well captured, systematic errors in the equatorial Pacific mean that the
A. G. Turner +39 more
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Identifying causal gateways and mediators in complex spatio-temporal systems [PDF]
J.R. received support by the German National Academic Foundation (Studienstiftung), a Humboldt University Postdoctoral Fellowship, and the German Federal Ministry of Science and Education (Young Investigators Group CoSy-CC2, grant no. 01LN1306A).
Donges, Jonathan F +9 more
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WCD Ideas: Teleconnections through weather rather than stationary waves [PDF]
Conventionally, teleconnections in the atmosphere are described by correlations between monthly mean fields. These correlations are supposedly caused by stationary Rossby waves.
C. Spensberger, C. Spensberger
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How to Recognize a True Mode of Atmospheric Circulation Variability
It has been demonstrated several times that when principal component analysis (PCA) is used for detection of modes of atmospheric circulation variability (teleconnections), principal components must be rotated.
Radan Huth, Romana Beranová
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