Results 201 to 210 of about 57,002 (295)

Diagnosis of the Contribution of Internal Climate Variability to Global Surface Temperature Projection Under Future Warming

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 10, 28 May 2026.
Abstract Internal climate variability (ICV) is a critical source of uncertainty in global surface temperature (GST) projections. We find regional drivers of ICV in GST projections and investigate their evolution under anthropogenic forcing. Among four CMIP6 large ensemble simulations under historical and SSP5‐8.5 scenarios, we focus on MIROC6 and ...
Sae‐Yoon Oh   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Climate Change Amplifies Rainfall Sensitivity to Deforestation in the Southern Amazon

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 9, 16 May 2026.
Abstract Rainfall among the Amazon has been shown to decline sharply once forest loss exceeds a critical threshold, typically around 30%–40%. However, future interactions between climate change and deforestation on this threshold remain unclear. We model their combined effects by 2050 on rainfall and temperature.
Jie Zhang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Trends in vertical wind velocity variability reveal cloud microphysical feedback. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Barahona D   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Simulating Shallow Mesoscale Overturning Circulations in the Trades With Kilometer‐Scale Earth System Models

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 9, 16 May 2026.
Abstract Shallow mesoscale overturning circulations (SMOCs) are ubiquitous in the trades, primarily triggered by mesoscale convective heating and influencing the organization of shallow cumuli. Accurate representation of SMOCs and their co‐variability with moisture is crucial for capturing mesoscale cloud organization in models and improving climate ...
Ian C. D. V. Dragaud   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Attributing Upper‐Tropospheric Warm Biases in CMIP6 Models to Ice Cloud‐Radiation Interaction Deficiencies Over Tropical Oceans

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 9, 16 May 2026.
Abstract We assess the impact of hydrometeor radiative effects on tropical and subtropical Pacific air temperature anomalies (TAA) using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) model simulations and satellite data. CMIP6 models are grouped by their treatment of frozen hydrometeors: SON2 (explicit cloud and falling ice), SON1 (simplified),
J.‐L. F. Li   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source

Role of Future Climate Change, Air Pollution Control and Methane Mitigation in Driving Hydroxyl Radical (OH) and Methane Lifetime

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 9, 16 May 2026.
Abstract The hydroxyl radical (OH) determines the atmospheric lifetime of many pollutants like methane (CH4 ${\text{CH}}_{4}$). This study isolates climate change, air pollution control and CH4 ${\text{CH}}_{4}$ mitigation effects on OH concentrations ([OH]) and CH4 ${\text{CH}}_{4}$ lifetime, by analyzing Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (
G. Chua, V. Naik, L. W. Horowitz
wiley   +1 more source

Changes in the Westward Transport of Saharan Dust From West Africa With Anthropogenic Forcing in the WRF Model

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 9, 16 May 2026.
Abstract Large uncertainties exist for future westward Saharan dust transport with increasing Greenhouse Gas emissions. We evaluate future changes in westward dust transport at the longitude of 18.6°W and a latitude range of 4°N–30°N using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) with the GOCART dust module for the present‐day, with ERA‐Interim
Gregory S. Jenkins   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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