Results 221 to 230 of about 15,877 (307)

Historical Increase in Hourly Heavy Precipitation Across Japan and Its Attribution to Anthropogenic Climate Warming

Atmospheric Science Letters, Volume 27, Issue 6, June 2026.
Short‐duration heavy rainfall events have received less attention than daily precipitation extremes despite their growing societal impact. Using large‐ensemble climate simulations, we identify when and where historical changes in hourly precipitation can be attributed to human influence.
Tomonori Sato, Kosuke Nagahiro, Kazuya Wakao   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Multi-horizon prediction of tropical cyclone intensity and its interpretability with temporal fusion transformer. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Mulia IE, Shimada U, Ueda N, Miyoshi T, Maulana MT.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Observation Impact of Moored Buoys in the Eastern Tropical Indian Ocean During Boreal Winter Using Ensemble‐Based Forecast Sensitivity to Observations

Atmospheric Science Letters, Volume 27, Issue 6, June 2026.
Using 17 years of ensemble‐based forecast sensitivity to observations (EFSO), this study shows that marine meteorological observations in the eastern tropical Indian Ocean have significantly larger impacts during boreal winter than summer, despite similar observation frequencies.
Miki Hattori, Akira Yamazaki, Iwao Ueki
wiley   +1 more source

The Multiscale Non‐Gaussian Statistics of Free‐Running 1000‐Member General Circulation Model Ensembles

Atmospheric Science Letters, Volume 27, Issue 6, June 2026.
This study investigates the multiscale evolution of forecast distributions using 1000‐member global circulation model ensembles. Initially different distributions converge to the same time‐varying equilibrium distribution, and the equilibration time scale noticeably exceeds the variance saturation time. Prior to equilibration, the forecast distribution
Man‐Yau Chan, Hristo G. Chipilski, Jack Schwartz, Max Albrecht, Aiden Ridgway, Saurav Dey Shuvo   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Navigating and attributing uncertainty in future tropical cyclone risk estimates. [PDF]

Sci Adv
Meiler S, Kropf CM, McCaughey JW, Lee CY, Camargo SJ, Sobel AH, Bloemendaal N, Emanuel K, Bresch DN.   +8 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Interdecadal Change in Summer Extreme Rainfall Over North China Around the Early 2000s: Drivers and Mechanisms

Atmospheric Science Letters, Volume 27, Issue 6, June 2026.
A discernible interdecadal change in extreme rainfall happened around the early 2000s, transitioning to a wetter period characterized by increased mean values and accelerated trends. The increased extremes were led by a poleward‐shifted East Asian westerly jet (lifting) and a strengthened and extended subtropical high (moisture transport), with little ...
Shiya Deng, Hongbo Liu, Xuechao Feng, Yong Wang   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Global ERA5-based Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Dataset Enhanced by Integrated Parametric Correction Methods. [PDF]

Sci Data
Liu G, Jiang S, Zheng M, Lin S, Kong Y, Zhan P.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Variability of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the Bay of Bengal Across the Phase Space of the Madden–Julian Oscillation

Atmospheric Science Letters, Volume 27, Issue 6, June 2026.
Anomalous probabilities of intraseasonal cyclogenesis were found to extend across the full phase space of the real‐time multivariate Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) (RMM) index. The 700‐hPa vertical velocity is the most skillful environmental parameter at identifying intraseasonal cyclogenesis.
Bradford S. Barrett, Nadim Mahmud, Md Masud‐Ul‐Alam, Pallav Ray, Sahadat Habib, Md Foysal, Most Israt Jahan Mili, Md Hanif Biswas   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

The impact of tropical cyclone exposure on infant mortality in low- and middle-income countries. [PDF]

Sci Adv
Wang Z, Jing R, Heft-Neal S, Clark-Ginsberg A, Guha-Sapir D, Bendavid E, Wagner Z.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Perspectives of Disaster Resilience in Africa: Towards a Participatory Framework for Conceptualising and Measuring Resilience in Malawi

Climate Resilience and Sustainability, Volume 5, Issue 1, June 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the concept of resilience as understood and operationalised by various humanitarian and climate resilience actors in Malawi. Findings revealed a fragmented understanding of resilience among stakeholders and highlight the need for participatory approaches, localised resilience assessments and context‐specific interventions ...
Zondiwe Mabilabo Jere, Desire Liness Ernest Mpanje, Lessah Mandoloma, Whytone Smart Fole, Bryer Mlowoka   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source