Results 121 to 130 of about 99,075 (290)

Modulation of North Atlantic atmospheric rivers by the Gulf Stream

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Gulf Stream ocean variability plays a key role in modulating atmospheric river (AR) activity over the North Atlantic during winter and spring at monthly time‐scales. Increased ocean heat transport and mesoscale activity in the Gulf Stream are linked to northward shifts in ARs, while stronger surface heat fluxes drive ARs southward.
Ferran Lopez‐Marti   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Polar‐low track prediction using machine‐learning methods

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Machine‐learning models are developed to produce reliable and efficient forecasts of polar‐low (PL) trajectories 12 hours ahead. A temporal model (RLSTM) benefiting from the rolling‐forecast strategy, improves overall prediction accuracy and is suitable for quick experimentation, while a spatiotemporal model (PL‐UNet), incorporating both historical and
Ziying Yang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Capturing Extreme Water Vapor and Instability With High‐Resolution GNSS Monitoring

open access: yesAtmospheric Science Letters
This study utilized data from a high‐resolution Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) network with a horizontal spacing of less than 10 km, including stations operated by private companies, to analyze the horizontal and vertical distributions of ...
Mikiko Fujita
doaj   +1 more source

Towards operational assimilation of surface‐sensitive microwave radiances over land at Environment and Climate Change Canada: Investigation of key factors using a 1D‐EnVar framework

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The study evaluates five factors affecting the assimilation of surface‐sensitive Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit‐A (AMSU‐A) radiances over land, including the simultaneous estimation of surface emissivity and the standard set of state variables, to improve numerical weather prediction (NWP) at Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC).
Zheng Qi Wang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

How consistently do ensemble prediction systems represent the growth of atmospheric uncertainty?

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Spread‐based diagnostics calculated for 12 ensemble prediction systems are compared to understand the consistency with which they represent atmospheric uncertainty growth. Good correlation between all these systems is found in the extratropics for a lead time range from 48 hr to between 96 hr and 192 hr.
Douglas Wood   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Suggestions for unifying the parametrizations of turbulent orographic form drag, mountain wave drag, and flow blocking

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A theory for the interaction between a boundary layer and a low mountain is used to provide estimates of the turbulent orographic form drag, upward‐propagating mountain gravity‐wave drag, and trapped lee‐wave drag (case shown in the figure). After reviewing briefly how these processes are represented in weather and climate models, we propose a ...
Francois Lott   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Future Changes of European Windstorm Losses in EURO-CORDEX Simulations

open access: yesTellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Windstorms are one of the most important natural hazards affecting Europe. This article investigates the potential impacts of climate change on windstorm losses in Europe employing the Loss Index (LI) method.
Inovasita Alifdini   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evolution and chemical consequences of lightning-produced NOx observed in the North Atlantic upper troposphere [PDF]

open access: yes, 2000
Airborne observations of NO during the Subsonics Assessment Ozone and Nitrogen Oxides Experiment (SONEX) reveal episodes of high NOx in the upper troposphere believed to be associated with lightning.
Anderson, B   +16 more
core  

Stratospheric and tropospheric seasonality and its implications for observation requirements in numerical weather prediction

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Daily time series of zonal‐mean zonal wind (m·s−1) at 10 hPa and 60° N from 1950 to 2021 from the ERA5 reanalysis. This shows huge variability in some seasons and very little in others. We provide evidence that high‐level observations, radiosonde and satellite, are more important during the extended winter season with its very large variability ...
Bruce Ingleby, Inna Polichtchouk
wiley   +1 more source

Diagnosing the 11‐year solar cycle's influence on the East Atlantic pattern

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A previously unidentified solar‐cycle response in the East Atlantic pattern is found in late winter at lag +3 years with larger amplitude than the NAO response. A statistically significant NAO response to the solar cycle is seen in late winter at lag 0 years.
Stergios Misios   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

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