Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Analysis of current status and influencing factors of fear of recurrence in patients with coronary heart disease after PCI: A cross-sectional study. [PDF]
Medicine (Baltimore)Peng Q, Li C, Shao Y, Hou X, Hu M.
europepmc +1 more source
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley +1 more source
Longitudinal Outcomes of Individual Placement and Support for Patients With Severe Mental Illness in Italy. [PDF]
Int J Public HealthMazzetti G +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Staffing, nursing home, and market characteristics associated with caregiver turnover in Japan: a national cross-sectional study. [PDF]
BMC Health Serv ResJin X +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
The Effect of Voluntary Staying at Home on Japanese Female Suicide During the COVID‐19 Pandemic
Health Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT In Japan, female suicide increased during the COVID‐19 pandemic. This study evaluated how pandemic‐related home confinement affected female suicide. We employed a shift‐share instrumental variable design to assess whether differential exposure to the pandemic caused changes in suicide incidence.
Yoko Ibuka +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Young adults not in education, employment, or training (NEET): a global scoping review. [PDF]
BMC Public HealthGunnes M +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Medicare Part D and Hospital Admissions due to Antimicrobial Resistance
Health Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has been increasing rapidly in the United States despite government efforts to contain its spread. Both under‐utilization and overuse of prescribed antimicrobials contribute to rising resistance. The introduction of Medicare Part D in 2006 expanded prescription drug coverage for the elderly, including coverage ...
Ricardo B. Ang III
wiley +1 more source
Gambling and Substance Use: Early Evidence From Sports Betting Laws
Health Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Previous research documents a strong association between gambling and substance use, suggesting that these seemingly distinct behaviors may share similar environmental, neurobiological, and genetic causes. However, there is a dearth of credible empirical evidence on whether gambling has a causal impact on substance use or vice versa.
Kabir Dasgupta, Keshar Ghimire
wiley +1 more source