Results 21 to 30 of about 231,323 (314)

Forecasting volatility [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, 1999
The forecasting ability of the most popular volatility forecasting models is examined and an alternative model developed. Existing models are compared in terms of four attributes: (1) the relative weighting of recent versus older observations, (2) the estimation criterion, (3) the trade-off in terms of out-of-sample forecasting error between simple and
Ederington, Louis H., Guan, Wei
openaire   +1 more source

Volatility of volatility of financial markets [PDF]

open access: yesMathematical and Computer Modelling, 1998
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
L. Ingber, J.K. Wilson
openaire   +2 more sources

Volatility Forecasting in Financial Risk Management with Statistical Models and ARCH-RBF Neural Networks [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR), 2014
As volatility plays very important role in financial risk management, we investigate the volatility dynamics of EUR/GBP currency. While a number of studies examines volatility using statistical models, we also use neural network approach.
Dusan Marcek, Lukas Falat
doaj   +1 more source

Realized Volatility Risk [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2009
In this paper we document that realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive.
Allen, David E.   +2 more
openaire   +10 more sources

The Effect of Change in Price Limit on Stock Market Volatility and Trading Volume -Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) [PDF]

open access: yesمجله دانش حسابداری, 2010
Financial market crashes in recent decades have given rise to discussions about excessive volatility in these markets. Some authorities recommend price limits as a device to control excessive price swings, arguing that price limits can provide a cooling ...
Ahmad Badri, Maryam Ramezanian
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting the Volatility of the Stock Index with Deep Learning Using Asymmetric Hurst Exponents

open access: yesFractal and Fractional, 2022
The prediction of the stock price index is a challenge even with advanced deep-learning technology. As a result, the analysis of volatility, which has been widely studied in traditional finance, has attracted attention among researchers.
Poongjin Cho, Minhyuk Lee
doaj   +1 more source

From volatility smiles to the volatility of volatility [PDF]

open access: yesDecisions in Economics and Finance, 2019
The authors review models of the option surface and reduced-form models for stochastic volatility in continuous time, under the risk-neutral measure. They introduce ``forward volatilities'' (in analogy with forward interest rates in the term structure theory), and prove that such objects are conditional expected values, under the risk-neutral measure ...
Dumas B., Luciano E.
openaire   +1 more source

Volatility Options in Rough Volatility Models [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2018
We discuss the pricing and hedging of volatility options in some rough volatility models. First, we develop efficient Monte Carlo methods and asymptotic approximations for computing option prices and hedge ratios in models where log-volatility follows a Gaussian Volterra process.
Blanka Horvath   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

The meaning of structural breaks for risk management: new evidence, mechanisms, and innovative views for the post-COVID-19 era

open access: yesQuantitative Finance and Economics, 2022
This paper quantitatively reveals the meaning of structural breaks for risk management by analyzing US and major European banking sector stocks. Applying newly extended Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity ...
Chikashi Tsuji
doaj   +1 more source

Realized Volatility

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 2011
The study of high-frequency financial data has been one of the most rapidly evolving areas of research over the last decade. We have seen an explosive growth in the availability of such data, which has gone hand in hand with the development of theory for how to analyze the data.
Meddahi, N, Mykland, P, Shephard, N
openaire   +1 more source

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