Results 21 to 30 of about 10,143,797 (300)

Pseudocontingencies: Flexible contingency inferences from base rates [PDF]

open access: yesJudgment and Decision Making, 2022
Humans are evidently able to learn contingencies from the co-occurrence of cues and outcomes. But how do humans judge contingencies when observations of cue and outcome are learned on different occasions?
Tobias Vogel   +2 more
doaj   +2 more sources

The impact of visualization on flexible Bayesian reasoning

open access: yesAvances de Investigación en Educación Matemática, 2017
There is wide consensus that visualizations of statistical information can support Bayesian reasoning. This article focusses on the conceptual understanding of Bayesian reasoning situations and investigates whether the tree diagram or the unit square is
Katharina Böcherer-Linder   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

An independence test based on recurrence rates [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Multivariate Analysis, 2020
A new test of independence between random elements is presented in this article. The test is based on a functional of the Cramér-von Mises type, which is applied to a $U$-process that is defined from the recurrence rates. Theorems of asymptotic distribution under $H_{0},$ and consistency under a wide class of alternatives are obtained.
Juan Kalemkerian, Diego Fernández
openaire   +4 more sources

Numeracy, frequency, and Bayesian reasoning

open access: yesJudgment and Decision Making, 2009
Previous research has demonstrated that Bayesian reasoning performance is improved if uncertainty information is presented as natural frequencies rather than single-event probabilities. A questionnaire study of 342 college students replicated this effect
Gretchen B. Chapman, Jingjing Liu
doaj   +1 more source

What do you mean by false positive?

open access: yesEnvironmental DNA, 2021
Misunderstandings regarding the term “false positive” present a significant hurdle to broad adoption of eDNA monitoring methods. Here, we identify three challenges to clear communication of false‐positive error between scientists, managers, and the ...
John A. Darling   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Collaborative filtering and rating aggregation based on multicriteria rating [PDF]

open access: yes2017 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 2017
Ratings by users on various items such as hotels and movies have become easily available on the Web. In many cases, other than overall rating for each item by each user, more detailed information such as ratings from different viewpoints and free text comments, as well as aggregated information such as the average of ratings by different users, are ...
Hiroki Morise   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Interest Rate Volatility: A Consol Rate-Based Measure [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2013
In this paper we propose a new methodology to estimate the volatility of interest rates in the euro area money market. In particular, our approach aims at avoiding the limitations of currently available measures, i.e. the dependency on arbitrary choices in terms of maturity and frequencies and/or of factors other than pure interest rates, e.g.
Brousseau, Vincent, Durré, Alain
openaire   +3 more sources

Reforms to the Israeli income tax

open access: yesResearch Papers in Economics and Finance, 2023
Income tax is a major component of state revenues, earmarked to finance the services provided by the government. Income taxes have a significant impact, among other things, on economic growth and income distribution. According to economic theory,
Beny Tzarfati
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluation of the metabolic rate based on the recording of the heart rate [PDF]

open access: yesINDUSTRIAL HEALTH, 2017
The assessment of harsh working conditions requires a correct evaluation of the metabolic rate. This paper revises the basis described in the ISO 8996 standard for the evaluation of the metabolic rate at a work station from the recording of the heart rate of a worker during a representative period of time.
Malchaire, Jacques   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

When Cognitive Reflection Leads to Less Overall but More Systematic Judgment Bias: The Case of the Base Rates Fallacy

open access: yesJournal of Intelligence, 2023
Although widely used in the judgment under uncertainty literature, the so-called Lawyer–Engineer problem does not have a Bayesian solution because the base rates typically oppose qualitative stereotypical information, which has an undefined diagnostic ...
Mário B. Ferreira   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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