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ANALISIS MODEL EPIDEMIK SVEIR DENGAN CONTINUOUS TIME MARKOV CHAIN (CTMC) PADA PENYAKIT RUBELLA
Penyakit rubella yang dikenal dengan sebutan campak Jerman adalah penyakit menular yang disebabkan oleh virus rubella. Penelitian ini mempelajari model dinamika penyebaran penyakit rubella menggunakan model SVEIR yang merupakan modifikasi dari model yang
Nur Eliska, Hadi Sumarno, Paian Sianturi
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Cholera is an acute enteric infectious disease caused by the Gram-negative bacterium Vibrio cholerae. Despite a huge body of research, the precise nature of its transmission dynamics has yet to be fully elucidated.
Asma Al Habees +3 more
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On the basic reproduction number in a random environment
The concept of basic reproduction number R0 in population dynamics is studied in the case of random environments. For simplicity the dependence between successive environments is supposed to follow a Markov chain. R0 is the spectral radius of a next-generation operator.
/Bacaër, Nicolas, Khaladi, M.
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Estimation of the Reproductive Number Trend of the Novel Coronavirus ”COVID-19“ in Southern Iran from July to November 2020 [PDF]
Background: Effective measures to control COVID-19 should be based on an understanding of its epidemiological pattern and the evaluation of its prevalence in the community. This study aimed to examine the reproductive number (R) of COVID-19 and its trend
Jafar Hasanzadeh +2 more
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Basic Reproduction Number [PDF]
The basic reproduction number according to the formula (K=population size, beta=transmission rate, alpha=recovery rate, S0=susceptible at the onset of the epidemic, S∞=susceptible at the end of the epidemic) of an infection leading to immunity depends on the size of the exposed population and on the number of people with immunity ...
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Background Since the first case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Africa was detected on February 14, 2020, the cumulative confirmations reached 15 207 including 831 deaths by April 13, 2020.
S. Musa +5 more
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Global convergence of COVID-19 basic reproduction number and estimation from early-time SIR dynamics
The SIR ('susceptible-infectious-recovered') formulation is used to uncover the generic spread mechanisms observed by COVID-19 dynamics globally, especially in the early phases of infectious spread.
G. Katul +4 more
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The virologically confirmed cases of a new coronavirus disease (COVID‐19) in the world are rapidly increasing, leading epidemiologists and mathematicians to construct transmission models that aim to predict the future course of the current pandemic.
B. Rahman, E. Sadraddin, A. Porreca
semanticscholar +1 more source
Genealogy with seasonality, the basic reproduction number, and the influenza pandemic [PDF]
The basic reproduction number R (0) has been used in population biology, especially in epidemiology, for several decades. But a suitable definition in the case of models with periodic coefficients was given only in recent years. The definition involves the spectral radius of an integral operator.
/Bacaër, Nicolas, Dads, E. A.
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Asymptomatic transmission shifts epidemic dynamics
Asymptomatic transmission of infectious diseases has been recognized recently in several epidemics or pandemics. There is a great need to incorporate asymptomatic transmissions into traditional modeling of infectious diseases and to study how ...
Jinlong Lv +3 more
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