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Etymologia: Bayesian Probability [PDF]
Ronnie Henry, Martin I. Meltzer
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Bayesian optimization for computationally extensive probability distributions. [PDF]
An efficient method for finding a better maximizer of computationally extensive probability distributions is proposed on the basis of a Bayesian optimization technique.
Ryo Tamura, Koji Hukushima
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Probability biases as Bayesian inference [PDF]
In this article, I will show how several observed biases in human probabilistic reasoning can be partially explained as good heuristics for making inferences in an environment where probabilities have uncertainties associated to them.
André C. R. Martins
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Bayesian Decision Theory and Stochastic Independence [PDF]
Stochastic independence has a complex status in probability theory. It is not part of the definition of a probability measure, but it is nonetheless an essential property for the mathematical development of this theory.
Philippe Mongin
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Bayesian probability estimates are not necessary to make choices satisfying Bayes' rule in elementary situations. [PDF]
Domurat A+4 more
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Using the historical precipitation observation data in the Haihe River Basin and the ECMWF ensemble prediction, the 289 grid points in the Haihe River Basin are modeled with Bayesian Processor of Output (BPO), which revise the determine precipitation ...
Shu XU, Mingming XIONG, Fajing CHEN
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The research on Bayesian inference for geophysical inversion
Based on statistical theory, the Bayesian inversion method adopts the posterior probability distribution to evaluate the model parameters under the constraints of prior information and observation data.
Xingda Jiang, Wei Zhang, Hui Yang
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A Probability-based Evolutionary Algorithm with Mutations to Learn Bayesian Networks [PDF]
Bayesian networks are regarded as one of the essential tools to analyze causal relationship between events from data. To learn the structure of highly-reliable Bayesian networks from data as quickly as possible is one of the important problems that ...
Sho Fukuda+2 more
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The Bayesian sampler : generic Bayesian inference causes incoherence in human probability [PDF]
Human probability judgments are systematically biased, in apparent tension with Bayesian models of cognition. But perhaps the brain does not represent probabilities explicitly, but approximates probabilistic calculations through a process of sampling, as
Chater, Nick+2 more
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Objective and Subjective Solomonoff Probabilities in Quantum Mechanics [PDF]
Algorithmic probability has shown some promise in dealing with the probability problem in the Everett interpretation, since it provides an objective, single-case probability measure.
Allan F. Randall
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