Results 1 to 10 of about 345,688 (235)
Etymologia: Bayesian Probability [PDF]
Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2017 Ronnie Henry, Martin I. Meltzer
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Probability biases as Bayesian inference [PDF]
Judgment and Decision Making, 2006 In this article, I will show how several observed biases in human probabilistic reasoning can be partially explained as good heuristics for making inferences in an environment where probabilities have uncertainties associated to them.
André C. R. Martins
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Quantum probabilities as Bayesian probabilities [PDF]
Phys. Rev. A 65, 022305 (2002), 2001 In the Bayesian approach to probability theory, probability quantifies a degree of belief for a single trial, without any a priori connection to limiting frequencies. In this paper we show that, despite being prescribed by a fundamental law, probabilities for individual quantum systems can be understood within the Bayesian approach.
Ruediger Schack +2 more
arxiv +4 more sources
ON BAYESIAN LOGICAL PROBABILITY [PDF]
ETS Research Bulletin Series, 1964 ABSTRACTIn a recent paper (Edwards, Lindman, and Savage, 1963), psychologists have been urged to adopt a Bayesian personal probability approach to statistical inference. The purpose of this paper is to suggest that a Bayesian logical probability approach may be superior to the personal probability approach.
Melvin R. Novick
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Bayesian optimization for computationally extensive probability distributions. [PDF]
PLoS ONE, 2018 An efficient method for finding a better maximizer of computationally extensive probability distributions is proposed on the basis of a Bayesian optimization technique.
Ryo Tamura, Koji Hukushima
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Probability and Bayesian Statistics. [PDF]
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (Statistics in Society), 1989 Michael Goldstein, R. Viertl
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Bayesian probability estimates are not necessary to make choices satisfying Bayes' rule in elementary situations. [PDF]
Front Psychol, 2015 Domurat A +4 more
europepmc +3 more sources
暴雨灾害, 2021 Using the historical precipitation observation data in the Haihe River Basin and the ECMWF ensemble prediction, the 289 grid points in the Haihe River Basin are modeled with Bayesian Processor of Output (BPO), which revise the determine precipitation ...
Shu XU, Mingming XIONG, Fajing CHEN
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The research on Bayesian inference for geophysical inversion
地球与行星物理论评, 2022 Based on statistical theory, the Bayesian inversion method adopts the posterior probability distribution to evaluate the model parameters under the constraints of prior information and observation data.
Xingda Jiang, Wei Zhang, Hui Yang
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Bayesian Brains without Probabilities [PDF]
Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 2016 Bayesian explanations have swept through cognitive science over the past two decades, from intuitive physics and causal learning, to perception, motor control and language. Yet people flounder with even the simplest probability questions. What explains this apparent paradox? How can a supposedly Bayesian brain reason so poorly with probabilities?
Nick Chater, Adam N. Sanborn
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