Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of assets returns [PDF]
Bayesian inference in a time series model provides exact, out-of-sample predictive distributions that fully and coherently incorporate parameter uncertainty.
Amisano, Gianni, Geweke, John
core
Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy SystemsThis paper applies Bayesian inference with normal–normal conjugate to forecast renewable energy generation. The generation forecasts a probability distribution rather than a quantitative value.
Yu-Jen Lin
doaj +1 more source
Design of a 2D/3D Positioning System and Its Real-Time Application With Low-Cost Sensors
IEEE AccessIn this article, we introduce a positioning system developed for two- and three-dimensional motion tracking. The system is based on a recursive Bayesian estimator with a dynamic naive Bayesian classifier map matching scheme.
Serkan Zobar +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Segmentation of small ground glass opacity pulmonary nodules based on Markov random field energy and Bayesian probability difference. [PDF]
Biomed Eng Online, 2020 Zhang S +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Distributional Properties of means of Random Probability Measures [PDF]
The present paper provides a review of the results concerning distributional properties of means of random probability measures. Our interest in this topic has originated from inferential problems in Bayesian Nonparametrics.
Antonio Lijoi, Igor Pruenster
core
On attitude polarization under Bayesian learning with non-additive beliefs [PDF]
Ample psychological evidence suggests that people’s learning behavior is often prone to a "myside bias" or "irrational belief persistence" in contrast to learning behavior exclusively based on objective data.
Alexander Ludwig, Alexander Zimper
core +1 more source
Posterior probability intervals in Bayesian wavelet estimation [PDF]
, 2004 C. Semadeni
openalex +1 more source
Assessing Students’ Difficulties with Conditional Probability and Bayesian Reasoning [PDF]
, 2007 Carmen Pena Díaz +1 more
openalex +1 more source
More Accurate Student Modeling through Contextual Estimation of Slip and Guess Probabilities in Bayesian Knowledge Tracing [PDF]
, 2008 Ryan S. Baker +2 more
openalex +1 more source