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Cognitive biases as Bayesian probability weighting in context [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology
IntroductionHumans often exhibit systematic biases in judgments under uncertainty, such as conservatism bias and base-rate neglect. This study investigates the context dependence of these biases within a Bayesian framework.MethodsForty-eight participants
Bruno Kopp
doaj   +2 more sources

The Bayesian Estimate of Vector Autoregressive Model Parameters Adopt Informative Prior Information

open access: yesTikrit Journal of Pure Science, 2023
This research included the bayesian estimate for vector Autoregressive model with rank (p) in addition to statistical tests and predict Bayesian when the random error of model followed generalized multivariate modified Bessel distribution.
Haifaa Abdulgawwad Saeed   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Bayesian Inference Based Computational Tool for Parametric and Nonparametric Medical Diagnosis

open access: yesDiagnostics, 2023
Medical diagnosis is the basis for treatment and management decisions in healthcare. Conventional methods for medical diagnosis commonly use established clinical criteria and fixed numerical thresholds. The limitations of such an approach may result in a
Theodora Chatzimichail   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

On revision of the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement: Proofs of fundamental errors in Bayesian approaches

open access: yesMeasurement: Sensors, 2022
The process of revising the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM) is ongoing. A successful revision must be theoretically sound, so it must be based on a recognized paradigm for scientific data analysis.
R. Willink
doaj   +1 more source

Consistency of Bayesian Linear Model Selection With a Growing Number of Parameters [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
Linear models with a growing number of parameters have been widely used in modern statistics. One important problem about this kind of model is the variable selection issue. Bayesian approaches, which provide a stochastic search of informative variables,
Clayton, Murray K., Shang, Zuofeng
core   +2 more sources

A Bayesian probability model for Android malware detection

open access: yesICT Express, 2022
The unprecedented growth of mobile technology has generated an increase in malware and raised concerns over malware threats. Different approaches have been adopted to overcome the malware attacks yet this spread is still increasing. To combat this issue,
Sharfah Ratibah Tuan Mat   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Simultaneous probability statements for Bayesian P-splines [PDF]

open access: yes, 2005
P-splines are a popular approach for fitting nonlinear effects of continuous covariates in semiparametric regression models. Recently, a Bayesian version for P-splines has been developed on the basis of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation techniques for
Brezger, Andreas, Lang, S.
core   +2 more sources

Should income be taken for granted as a sole driver of welfare? Bayesian insight on the relevance of non-income drivers of welfare

open access: yesInternational Journal of Management and Economics, 2018
: The paper consists of a discussion on the relevance of non-income drivers of welfare. This discussion is based on a subjective Bayesian reasoning, where welfare perceptions are subjectively rational decisions of individuals, who are, as author suggests,
Wiśniewski Tomasz P.
doaj   +1 more source

Bayesian Update with Information Quality under the Framework of Evidence Theory

open access: yesEntropy, 2018
Bayesian update is widely used in data fusion. However, the information quality is not taken into consideration in classical Bayesian update method. In this paper, a new Bayesian update with information quality under the framework of evidence theory is ...
Yuting Li, Fuyuan Xiao
doaj   +1 more source

Risk prediction and diagnosis of urban gas pipeline accidents based on polymorphic fuzzy Bayesian network [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Hebei University of Science and Technology, 2023
In order to evaluate the risk level of the urban gas pipeline system, and provide the reference for follow-up prevention efforts, a quantitative analysis method of gas pipeline accident risk was proposed based on polymorphic fuzzy Bayesian network ...
Ying QU   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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