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The Effects of Working Memory and Probability Format on Bayesian Reasoning
Bayesian reasoning is common and critical in everyday life while the performance on Bayesian reasoning is rather poor. Previous studies showed that people could enhance their performance by applying cognitive resources under the natural frequency format ...
Lin Yin +5 more
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Market Structure and Competition in the Indian Microfinance Sector
Executive Summary The Indian microfinance sector has experienced fundamental changes in the structure of ownership and management of microfinance institutions (MFIs).
Nitin Navin, Pankaj Sinha
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A Probability-based Evolutionary Algorithm with Mutations to Learn Bayesian Networks
Bayesian networks are regarded as one of the essential tools to analyze causal relationship between events from data. To learn the structure of highly-reliable Bayesian networks from data as quickly as possible is one of the important problems that ...
Sho Fukuda +2 more
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Integrated probability of coronary heart disease subject to the -308 tumor necrosis factor-alpha SNP: a Bayesian meta-analysis [PDF]
We present a meta-analysis of independent studies on the potential implication in the occurrence of coronary heart disease (CHD) of the single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) at the -308 position of the tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) gene.
Carvalho, C. Sofia
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Bayesian Probabilities and the Histories Algebra [PDF]
10 pages, accepted by Int. J. Theo. Phys.
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Fault diagnosis of mine drainage system based on fuzzy Bayesian network
The mine drainage system is developing towards automation and intelligence. The system's structure and function are becoming more and more complex, and the abnormal function and failure of a single component may cause the failure of the whole system. The
SHI Xiaojuan, YAO Bing, GU Huabei
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Bayesian utilitarianism and probability homogeneity [PDF]
This paper investigates, within the axiomatic framework of Jeffrey-Bolker decision theory, two kinds of conditions and the relation between them: (1) The Utilitarian condition that social rankings of prospects be representable by an expected utility function that is a weighted sum of the expected utility functions representing individual rankings; and (
openaire +1 more source
Randomization-based, Bayesian inference of causal effects
Bayesian causal inference in randomized experiments usually imposes model-based structure on potential outcomes. Yet causal inferences from randomized experiments are especially credible because they depend on a known assignment process, not a ...
Leavitt Thomas
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Bayesian Decision Theory and Stochastic Independence [PDF]
As stochastic independence is essential to the mathematical development of probability theory, it seems that any foundational work on probability should be able to account for this property. Bayesian decision theory appears to be wanting in this respect.
Mongin, Philippe
core
After making some general remarks, I consider two examples that illustrate the use of Bayesian Probability Theory. The first is a simple one, the physicist's favorite "toy," that provides a forum for a discussion of the key conceptual issue of Bayesian ...
Prosper, Harrison B.
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