Results 11 to 20 of about 18,600 (242)
Effect of hit rate and cognitive style on Bayesian reasoning: evidence from eye movements [PDF]
Frontiers in PsychologyWhile psychological research has established both probability information and cognitive style as key factors in Bayesian reasoning, their interactive effects remain underexplored.
Lin Yin, Zifu Shi, Mei Liu, Huohong Chen
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Frontiers in Psychology, 2015 Bayesian reasoning, defined here as the updating of a posterior probability following new information, has historically been problematic for humans. Classic psychology experiments have tested human Bayesian reasoning through the use of word problems and ...
Gary L. Brase, W. Trey eHill
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Bayesian reasoning in residents' preliminary diagnoses. [PDF]
Cogn Res Princ Implic, 2016 Whether and when humans in general, and physicians in particular, use their beliefs about base rates in Bayesian reasoning tasks is a long-standing question. Unfortunately, previous research on whether doctors use their beliefs about the prevalence of diseases in diagnostic judgments has critical limitations.
Rottman BM, Prochaska MT, Deaño RC.
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Designing Visualisations for Bayesian Problems According to Multimedia Principles
Education Sciences, 2022 Questions involving Bayesian Reasoning often arise in events of everyday life, such as assessing the results of a breathalyser test or a medical diagnostic test. Bayesian Reasoning is perceived to be difficult, but visualisations are known to support it.
Theresa Büchter +6 more
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Beliefs and Bayesian reasoning [PDF]
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 2016 We examine whether judgments of posterior probabilities in Bayesian reasoning problems are affected by reasoners' beliefs about corresponding real-world probabilities. In an internet-based task, participants were asked to determine the probability that a hypothesis is true (posterior probability, e.g., a person has a disease, given a positive medical ...
Andrew L, Cohen +2 more
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Numeracy, frequency, and Bayesian reasoning [PDF]
Judgment and Decision Making, 2009 Previous research has demonstrated that Bayesian reasoning performance is improved if uncertainty information is presented as natural frequencies rather than single-event probabilities. A questionnaire study of 342 college students replicated this effect
Gretchen B. Chapman, Jingjing Liu
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Interpreting Dynamical Systems as Bayesian Reasoners [PDF]
, 2021 11 pages + 26 pages appendix, to be published in the proceedings of the 2nd International Workshop on Active Inference ...
Nathaniel Virgo +2 more
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Bayesian reasoning in science [PDF]
Nature, 1991 Bayesian scientific reasoning has a sound foundation in logic and provides a unified approach to the evaluation of deterministic and statistical theories, unlike its main rivals.
Colin Howson, Peter Urbach
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The Effect of Bayesian Reasoning Training on the Results of Clinical Reasoning Tests of Interns [PDF]
Pizhūhish dar Āmūzish-i ̒ulūm-i Pizishkī, 2022 Introduction: Clinical reasoning includes a range of thinking about clinical medicine at all stages of patient evaluation. Bayesian theory can be used to refute or confirm differential diagnoses in the clinical reasoning process. In this way, by learning
Sh yazdani +3 more
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The Logical Essentials of Bayesian Reasoning [PDF]
, 2020 This chapter offers an accessible introduction to the channel-based approach to Bayesian probability theory. This framework rests on algebraic and logical foundations, inspired by the methodologies of programming language semantics. It offers a uniform, structured and expressive language for describing Bayesian phenomena in terms of familiar ...
Jacobs, Bart, Zanasi, Fabio
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