The Effect of Bayesian Reasoning Training on the Results of Clinical Reasoning Tests of Interns [PDF]
Introduction: Clinical reasoning includes a range of thinking about clinical medicine at all stages of patient evaluation. Bayesian theory can be used to refute or confirm differential diagnoses in the clinical reasoning process. In this way, by learning
Sh yazdani +3 more
doaj
The Logical Essentials of Bayesian Reasoning [PDF]
This chapter offers an accessible introduction to the channel-based approach to Bayesian probability theory. This framework rests on algebraic and logical foundations, inspired by the methodologies of programming language semantics. It offers a uniform, structured and expressive language for describing Bayesian phenomena in terms of familiar ...
Jacobs, Bart, Zanasi, Fabio
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Bayesian Inferential Reasoning Model for Crime Investigation [PDF]
Forensic inferential reasoning is a “fact-finding” journey for crime investigation and evidence presentation. In complex legal practices involving various forms of evidence, conventional decision making processes based on human intuition and piece-to ...
Xu, Zhijie, Wang, Jing
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Effect of Probability Information on Bayesian Reasoning: A Study of Event-Related Potentials
People often confront Bayesian reasoning problems and make decisions under uncertainty in daily life. However, the time course of Bayesian reasoning remains unclear.
Zifu Shi +4 more
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Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning through Crowdsourcing [PDF]
People have difficulty understanding statistical information and are unaware of their wrong judgments, particularly in Bayesian reasoning. Psychology studies suggest that the way Bayesian problems are represented can impact comprehension, but few visual ...
Dragicevic, Pierre +2 more
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Developing a Decision Analytic Framework Based on Influence Diagrams in Relation to Mass Evacuations [PDF]
Presented at International Conference on Emergency Preparedness "The Challenges of Mass Evacuation" 21st - 23rd September 2010 Aston Business SchoolIn this paper, we examine the role which decision analysis can play in a situation requiring a mass ...
McNaught, Ken R., Zagorecki, A.
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Normativity, interpretation, and Bayesian models [PDF]
It has been suggested that evaluative normativity should be expunged from the psychology of reasoning. A broadly Davidsonian response to these arguments is presented. It is suggested that two distinctions, between different types of rationality, are more
Mike eOaksford +3 more
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Different Visualizations Cause Different Strategies When Dealing With Bayesian Situations
People often struggle with Bayesian reasoning. However, previous research showed that people’s performance (and rationality) can be supported by the way the statistical information is represented.
Andreas Eichler +2 more
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Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model [PDF]
The interplay between intuitive and deliberative processing is known to be important for human decision making. As independent modes, intuitive processes can take on many forms from associative to constructive, while deliberative processes often rely on ...
Jesse Hoey +2 more
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Efficient utility-based clustering over high dimensional partition spaces [PDF]
Because of the huge number of partitions of even a moderately sized dataset, even when Bayes factors have a closed form, in model-based clustering a comprehensive search for the highest scoring (MAP) partition is usually impossible.
Smith, JQ +9 more
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