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A piece of folklore enjoys some currency among philosophical Bayesians, according to which Bayesian agents that, intuitively speaking, spread their credence over the entire space of available hypotheses are certain to converge to the truth.
Belot, Gordon, Gordon Belot
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Bayesianism and Scientific Reasoning [PDF]
This Element explores the Bayesian approach to the logic and epistemology of scientific reasoning. Section 1 introduces the probability calculus as an appealing generalization of classical logic for uncertain reasoning. Section 2 explores some of the vast terrain of Bayesian epistemology.
openaire +1 more source
Widening Access to Bayesian Problem Solving
Bayesian reasoning and decision making is widely considered normative because it minimizes prediction error in a coherent way. However, it is often difficult to apply Bayesian principles to complex real world problems, which typically have many unknowns ...
Nicole Cruz +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Confirmation in the Cognitive Sciences: The Problematic Case of Bayesian Models [PDF]
Bayesian models of human learning are becoming increasingly popular in cognitive science. We argue that their purported confirmation largely relies on a methodology that depends on premises that are inconsistent with the claim that people are Bayesian ...
Danks, David +3 more
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Bayesian Linear Regression [PDF]
The paper is concerned with Bayesian analysis under prior-data conflict, i.e. the situation when observed data are rather unexpected under the prior (and the sample size is not large enough to eliminate the influence of the prior).
Walter, Gero, Augustin, Thomas
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ObjectivesTo inform efforts to promote regular and normalized Bayesian reasoning, we studied factors associated with the degree to which surgeons use Bayesian reasoning to navigate uncertainty across different clinical scenarios.MethodsScience of ...
Robert Parisien +5 more
doaj +1 more source
BAT.jl Upgrading the Bayesian Analysis Toolkit [PDF]
In all but the simplest cases, performing data analysis based on Bayesian reasoning requires the use of advanced algorithms. The Bayesian Analysis Toolkit (BAT) provides a collection of algorithms and methods that facilitate the application of Bayesian ...
Caldwell Allen +6 more
doaj +1 more source
Directed evolution of enzymes at the crossroads of tradition and innovation
An iterative cycle of data‐driven enzyme optimization comprising four stages: genetic diversification of a template enzyme, expression of protein variants, high‐throughput evaluation, and machine‐learning‐guided redesign of the next variant library.
Maria Tomkova +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Global Rather Than Vertical‐Selective Saccadic Abnormalities in Progressive Supranuclear Palsy
ABSTRACT Objective To test whether vertical saccades are preferentially affected in Progressive Supranuclear Palsy (PSP). Methods PSP patients (n = 24) were compared to age‐matched controls (n = 94) and two degenerative groups (Alzheimer's disease, n = 20; Lewy body disease, n = 50).
Duy Duan Nguyen +6 more
wiley +1 more source
In their research articles, scholars often use 2 x 2 tables or tree diagrams including natural frequencies in order to illustrate Bayesian reasoning situations to their peers. Interestingly, the effect of these visualizations on participants’ performance
Karin eBinder +2 more
doaj +1 more source

