Results 51 to 60 of about 6,155,869 (288)

EMPLOYMENT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE [PDF]

open access: yesThe Manchester School, 2013
This paper investigates the differences in the cyclical dynamics in employment on non‐agricultural payroll (ENAP) and total civilian employment (TCE), and the implications for monitoring US business cycles in real time. We find that employment measures have diverged considerably around the last three recessions and subsequent recoveries.
Marcelle, Chauvet, Jeremy, Piger
openaire   +4 more sources

Spillover index for European business cycle [PDF]

open access: yesRevista de Studii Financiare, 2020
The Covid-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the international economy. The paper analyses the interdependence between the business cycles of the European Union economies to capture the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on them.
Marius Cristian Acatrinei
doaj  

Ambiguous Business Cycles [PDF]

open access: yesAmerican Economic Review, 2014
This paper studies a New Keynesian business cycle model with agents who are averse to ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Shocks to confidence about future TFP are modeled as changes in ambiguity. To assess the size of those shocks, our estimation uses not only data on standard macro variables, but also incorporates the dispersion of survey forecasts ...
Ilut, CL, Schneider, M
openaire   +4 more sources

Factors behind the employment loss in Galicia: Great Recession of 2008 vs. the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic

open access: yesRevista Galega de Economía, 2021
In a recession such as COVID-19 pandemic with important consequences in the labour market, it is important to design policies that really address factors behind the employment loss for each demographic subgroup. The aim of this paper is to decompose and
Yolanda Pena-Boquete, Iria Dios-Murcia
doaj   +1 more source

Technology, Employment, and the Business Cycle: Do Technology Shocks Explain Aggregate Fluctuations

open access: yes, 1996
Using data for the G7 countries, I estimate conditional correlations of employment and productivity, based on a decomposition of the two series into technology and non-technology components.
J. Gaĺı
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis

open access: yesThe American Economic Review, 2016
Are business cycles mainly a response to persistent exogenous shocks, or do they instead reflect a strong endogenous mechanism which produces recurrent boom-bust phenomena?
P. Beaudry, Dana Galizia, F. Portier
semanticscholar   +1 more source

International Business Cycle Accounting [PDF]

open access: yes, 2009
In this paper, I extend the business cycle accounting method a la Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2007) to a two-country international business cycle model and quantify the effect of the disturbances in relevant markets on the business cycle correlation ...
Otsu, Keisuke
core   +2 more sources

Markups and the Business Cycle [PDF]

open access: yesNBER Macroeconomics Annual, 1991
From page 63 -- 'Perfectly competitive models of the effects of aggregate demand variations on output and employment have great difficulty generating patterns of comovement among aggregate variables that resemble typical 'business cycle' patterns (Barro and King, 1984).
Julio J. Rotemberg, Michael Woodford
openaire   +4 more sources

Does Economic Overheating Provide Positive Feedback on Population Health? Evidence From BRICS and ASEAN Countries

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health, 2021
This paper explores the relationship of real GDP per capita with cancer incidence applying panel threshold regression model in BRICS and ASEAN countries.
Chi-Wei Su   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Expectational Business Cycles [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2004
I introduce Expectational Business Cycles where aggregate activity fluctuates due to learning, heterogeneous updating rules and random changes in the social norm predictor. Agents use one of two updating rules to learn the equilibrium values while heterogeneity is dictated via an evolutionary process. Uncertainty of a new equilibrium, due to a shock to
openaire   +4 more sources

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