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Climate Predictions: The Chaos and Complexity in Climate Models [PDF]

Advances in Meteorology, 2014
Some issues which are relevant for the recent state in climate modeling have been considered. A detailed overview of literature related to this subject is given. The concept in modeling of climate, as a complex system, seen through Gödel’s theorem and Rosen’s definition of complexity and predictability is discussed. Occurrence of chaos in computing the
Mihailović, D. T., Mimić, G., Arsenić, I.   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

The Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model Version 6 (WACCM6)

Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2019
The Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model version 6 (WACCM6) is a major update of the whole atmosphere modeling capability in the Community Earth System Model (CESM), featuring enhanced physical, chemical and aerosol parameterizations.
A. Gettelman, M. Mills, D. Kinnison, R. Garcia, Anne K. Smith, D. Marsh, S. Tilmes, F. Vitt, C. Bardeen, J. McInerny, Han L. Liu, S. Solomon, L. Polvani, L. Emmons, J. Lamarque, J. Richter, A. Glanville, J. Bacmeister, A. Phillips, R. Neale, I. Simpson, A. DuVivier, A. Hodzic, W. Randel   +23 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Evaluation of the large EURO‐CORDEX regional climate model ensemble

, 2020
The use of regional climate model (RCM) ‐ based projections for providing regional climate information in a research and climate service contexts is currently expanding very fast.
R. Vautard, N. Kadygrov, C. Iles, F. Boberg, E. Buonomo, Katharina Bülow, E. Coppola, L. Corre, E. Meijgaard, R. Nogherotto, M. Sandstad, C. Schwingshackl, S. Somot, E. Aalbers, O. B. Christensen, J. Ciarlo', M. Demory, F. Giorgi, D. Jacob, Richard G. Jones, K. Keuler, E. Kjellström, G. Lenderink, G. Levavasseur, G. Nikulin, J. Sillmann, C. Solidoro, S. Sørland, C. Steger, C. Teichmann, K. Warrach‐Sagi, V. Wulfmeyer   +31 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Long-term temperature trends and variability on Spitsbergen: the extended Svalbard Airport temperature series, 1898–2012 [PDF]

Polar Research, 2014
One of the few long instrumental records available for the Arctic is the Svalbard Airport composite series that hitherto began in 1911, with observations made on Spitsbergen, the largest island in the Svalbard Archipelago.
Øyvind Nordli, Rajmund Przybylak, Astrid E.J. Ogilvie, Ketil Isaksen   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluation of Climate Models [PDF]

, 2014
Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of biogeochemical cycles important to climate change. These models allow for policy-relevant calculations such as the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions compatible with a specified climate ...
Flato, G., Marotzke, J. ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9857-9900, Abiodun, B., Braconnot, P., Chou, S., Collins, W., Cox, P., Driouech, F., Emori, S., Eyring, V., Forest, C., Gleckler, P., Guilyardi, E., Jakob, C., Kattsov, V., Reason, C., Rummukainen, M., more   +17 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades

Scientific Reports, 2017
Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model ...
Benjamin D. Santer, Susan Solomon, Frank J. Wentz, Qiang Fu, Stephen Po-Chedley, Carl Mears, Jeffrey F. Painter, Céline Bonfils   +7 more
doaj   +1 more source

Structure and Performance of GFDL's CM4.0 Climate Model

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2019
We describe the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory's CM4.0 physical climate model, with emphasis on those aspects that may be of particular importance to users of this model and its simulations.
I. Held, H. Guo, A. Adcroft, J. Dunne, L. Horowitz, J. Krasting, E. Shevliakova, M. Winton, Ming Zhao, Mitchell Bushuk, A. Wittenberg, B. Wyman, B. Xiang, Rong Zhang, W. Anderson, V. Balaji, L. Donner, K. Dunne, J. Durachta, P. Gauthier, P. Ginoux, J. Golaz, S. Griffies, R. Hallberg, L. Harris, M. Harrison, W. Hurlin, J. John, P. Lin, Shian‐Jiann Lin, S. Malyshev, R. Menzel, P. Milly, Y. Ming, V. Naik, D. Paynter, F. Paulot, V. Ramaswamy, B. Reichl, T. Robinson, A. Rosati, C. Seman, Levi G. Silvers, S. Underwood, N. Zadeh   +44 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections

Geophysical Research Letters, 2020
Retrospectively comparing future model projections to observations provides a robust and independent test of model skill. Here we analyze the performance of climate models published between 1970 and 2007 in projecting future global mean surface ...
Z. Hausfather, H. Drake, T. Abbott, G. Schmidt   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Köppen bioclimatic evaluation of CMIP historical climate simulations

Environmental Research Letters, 2015
Köppen bioclimatic classification relates generic vegetation types to characteristics of the interactive annual-cycles of continental temperature ( T ) and precipitation ( P ).
Thomas J Phillips, Céline J W Bonfils
doaj   +1 more source

Towards improved and more routine Earth system model evaluation in CMIP [PDF]

Earth System Dynamics, 2016
The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) has successfully provided the climate community with a rich collection of simulation output from Earth system models (ESMs) that can be used to understand past climate changes and make projections and ...
V. Eyring, P. J. Gleckler, C. Heinze, R. J. Stouffer, K. E. Taylor, V. Balaji, E. Guilyardi, S. Joussaume, S. Kindermann, B. N. Lawrence, G. A. Meehl, M. Righi, D. N. Williams   +12 more
doaj   +1 more source