Results 21 to 30 of about 45,327 (265)
A Combination Prediction Model of Stock Composite Index Based on Artificial Intelligent Methods and Multi-Agent Simulation [PDF]
Predicting stock composite index is useful, which can raise the interest of both the investors and the corresponding researchers. This paper presented a new combination prediction model based on the technique of artificial intelligence and the principle ...
Yongli Li +3 more
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Accurate probabilistic forecasts of renewable generation are drivers for operational and management excellence in modern power systems and for the sustainable integration of green energy.
Antonio Bracale +2 more
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To Combine Forecasts or to Combine Information? [PDF]
When the objective is to forecast a variable of interest but with many explanatory variables available, one could possibly improve the forecast by carefully integrating them. There are generally two directions one could proceed: combination of forecasts (CF) or combination of information (CI).
Huiyu Huang, Tae-Hwy Lee
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Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with a Composite Fundamental-Econometric Hybrid Methodology
Various power exchanges are nowadays being affected by a plethora of factors that, as a whole, cause considerable instabilities in the system. As a result, traders and practitioners must constantly adapt their strategies and look for support for their ...
Rodrigo A. de Marcos +2 more
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Combining inflation density forecasts [PDF]
AbstractIn this paper, we empirically evaluate competing approaches for combining inflation density forecasts in terms of Kullback–Leibler divergence. In particular, we apply a similar suite of models to four different datasets and aim at identifying combination methods that perform well throughout different series and variations of the model suite. We
Kascha, Christian, Ravazzolo, Francesco
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Smartmet nowcast – Rapidly updating nowcasting system at Finnish Meteorological Institute
Rapidly updating nowcasting system, Smartmet nowcast, has been developed at Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) to operationally produce accurate and timely short range forecasts and a detailed description of the present weather to the end-users.
Leila Hieta +7 more
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Optimal combination of survey forecasts [PDF]
We consider the problem of combining individual forecasts of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) for the Euro area. Contrary to the common practice of using equal combination weights, we compute weights which are optimal in the sense that ...
Conflitti, Cristina +2 more
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Research on Agricultural Product Price Prediction Based on Improved PSO-GA
The accurate prediction of scallion prices can not only optimize supply chain management and help related practitioners and consumers to make more reasonable purchasing decisions, but also provide guidance for farmers’ planting choices, thus enhancing ...
Yunhong Li +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Bayesian Calibration of Generalized Pools of Predictive Distributions
Decision-makers often consult different experts to build reliable forecasts on variables of interest. Combining more opinions and calibrating them to maximize the forecast accuracy is consequently a crucial issue in several economic problems.
Roberto Casarin +2 more
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Building the Oolong Tea Grade Judgement Model Based on Interior Quality Parameters
Tea grade evaluation is an important technical method to test the quality of tea, and scientifically building the tea grade evaluation model has an important significance.
Cuiling LIU +7 more
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