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Effects of Inflation Expectations on Inflation [PDF]

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021
Abstract We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations have a significantly positive effect on inflation.
openaire   +2 more sources

Nonlinearities in the Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Role of Inflation Expectations

Social Science Research Network, 2022
This paper investigates nonlinearities in the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer and import prices by estimating a smooth transition regression model with different inflation expectations regimes for five inflation targeting countries (the UK,
C. Anderl, G. Caporale
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Making Sense of Consumer Inflation Expectations: The Role of Uncertainty

Social Science Research Network, 2022
Consumers’ inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for monetary policymakers to understand what they are and how they are formed.
L. Reiche, Aidan Meyler
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Do inflation expectations granger cause inflation? [PDF]

Economia Politica, 2018
In this paper, we investigate whether survey measures of inflation expectations in Sweden Granger cause Swedish CPI inflation. This is done by studying the precision of out-of-sample forecasts from Bayesian VAR models using a sample of quarterly data from 1996 to 2016.
Pär Stockhammar, Pär Österholm
openaire   +2 more sources

How to Limit the Spillover from the 2021 Inflation Surge to Inflation Expectations?

AEA Randomized Controlled Trials, 2022
By providing numerical inflation projections. Many central banks currently face inflation well above their targets and with that the challenge to prevent spillovers on inflation expectations.
D. Pfajfar
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Economic Commentary, 2022
Surveys often measure consumers’ inflation expectations by asking directly about prices in general or overall inflation, concepts that may not be well-defined for some individuals.
Ina Hajdini, Edward S. Knotek, Mathieu O. Pedemonte, Robert W. Rich, J. Leer, Raphael S. Schoenle   +5 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Gender Differences in Inflation Expectations: Recent Evidence from India

Administrative Sciences, 2023
This study investigates gender disparities in inflation expectations in India using data from the Reserve Bank of India’s Households’ Inflation Expectations Survey (March 2011 to September 2022).
Swapnil Virendra Chalwadi, Preeti Tushar Joshi, Nitin Mohanlal Sharma, Chaitanya Gite, Sangita Salve   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Inflation Expectations and Their Role in Eurosystem Forecasting

Social Science Research Network, 2021
This paper summarises the findings of the Eurosystem’s Expert Group on Inflation Expectations (EGIE), which was one of the 13 work streams conducting analysis that fed into the ECB’s monetary policy strategy review. The EGIE was tasked with (i) reviewing
Ursel Baumann, Matthieu Darracq Pariès, T. Westermann, M. Riggi, Elena Bobeica, Aidan Meyler, Benjamin Böninghausen, Friedrich Fritzer, R. Trezzi, J. Jonckheere, Dmitry Kulikov, D. Popova, Sulev Pert, Maritta Paloviita, Frantǐsek Brázdik, Harri Pönkä, Mikkel Bess, Pierre-Antoine Robert, Alexander Al-Haschimi, Philipp Gmehling, Marta Bańbura, Evangelos Charalampakis, Jan-Oliver Menz, Benny Hartwig, Joan Paredes, Ute B. Volz, L. Reiche, Zacharias G. Bragoudakis, Marcel Tirpák, E. Kasimati, Tomasz Łyziak, A. Tagliabracci, E. Stanisławska, Andrejs Bessonovs, Nikolay Iskrev, O. Krasnopjorovs, Miroslav Gavura, Tomas Reichenbachas, M. Damjanović, R. Colavecchio, M. Maletič, G. Galati, Danilo Leiva, Íde Kearney, Pär Stockhammar   +44 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Shaping Inflation Expectations in the Czech Economy: a Case of Financial Analysts and Corporate Managers [PDF]

Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal
Inflation expectations play an important role in the transmission mechanism of inflation targeting in the context of the length and costs of the disinflationary process.
Martin Mandel, Jan Vejmělek
doaj   +1 more source

The effect of interest rate and exchange rate on inflation targeting with heterogeneous inflation expectations approach [PDF]

مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی, 2020
The purpose of this study was to investigate the role of policy tools such as interest rate and exchange rate on inflation targeting in the form of new Keynesian model in terms of heterogeneity of economic agents' expectations.
Asghar Aboulhassani, Bita shaygani, Zahra Zandian   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source