Results 1 to 10 of about 15,138 (145)
Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan [PDF]
Frontiers in Oncology, 2023 BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik +4 more
doaj +2 more sources
A Deep Learning Integrated Lee–Carter Model [PDF]
Risks, 2019 In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model,
Andrea Nigri +4 more
doaj +4 more sources
PEMBUATAN TABEL MORTALIA MELALUI MODEL LEE CARTER
Jurnal LebesgueThe Lee-Carter model, proposed in 1992, is one of the most well-known methodologies for modeling mortality rates. This model is known for its simplicity and has been used successfully in America, Japan, and Australia. Basically, the Lee-Carter model is a
Taofik Hidayat
doaj +2 more sources
A Fuzzy-Random Extension of the Lee–Carter Mortality Prediction Model
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems, 2019 The Lee–Carter model is a useful dynamic stochastic model to represent the evolution of central mortality rates throughout time. This model only considers the uncertainty about the coefficient related to the mortality trend over time but not to the age ...
Jorge de Andrés-Sánchez +1 more
doaj +3 more sources
The Usage of State Space Models in Mortality Modeling and Predictions [PDF]
Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal, 2023 In demography, mortality modeling with respect to age and time dimensions is often associated with the traditionally used Lee-Carter model. The Lee-Carter model considers a constant set of parameters of agespecific mortality change for forecasts, which ...
Martin Matějka, Ivana Malá
doaj +1 more source
CALIBRATING THE LEE-CARTER AND THE POISSON LEE-CARTER MODELS VIA NEURAL NETWORKS [PDF]
ASTIN Bulletin, 2021 AbstractThis paper introduces a neural network (NN) approach for fitting the Lee-Carter (LC) and the Poisson Lee-Carter model on multiple populations. We develop some NNs that replicate the structure of the individual LC models and allow their joint fitting by simultaneously analysing the mortality data of all the considered populations.
openaire +3 more sources
Risks, 2023 Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms, that is,
Miguel Santolino
doaj +1 more source
Big Data and Cognitive Computing, 2022 The Lee–Carter model could be considered as one of the most important mortality prediction models among stochastic models in the field of mortality.
Yuan Chen, Abdul Q. M. Khaliq
doaj +1 more source
Multiple mortality modeling in Poisson Lee–Carter framework [PDF]
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 2015 The academic literature in longevity field has recently focused on models for detecting multiple population trends (D'Amato et al., 2012b; Njenga and Sherris, 2011; Russolillo et al., 2011, etc.). In particular, increasing interest has been shown about "related" population dynamics or "parent" populations characterized by similar socioeconomic ...
D'AMATO, Valeria +4 more
openaire +8 more sources
Identification and Forecasting in the Lee-Carter Model [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2010 We consider the identification problem for the model of Lee and Carter (1992). The parameters of this model are known only to be identified up to certain transformations. Forecasts from the model may therefore depend on the arbitrarily chosen identification scheme. A condition for invariant forecasts is proposed.
Bent Nielsen, J.P. Nielsen
openaire +3 more sources