Results 1 to 10 of about 15,650 (252)
A Deep Learning Integrated Lee–Carter Model [PDF]
Risks, 2019 In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model,
Andrea Nigri +4 more
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Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan [PDF]
Frontiers in Oncology, 2023 BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik +4 more
doaj +2 more sources
The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: a multi-country study. [PDF]
J Appl Stat, 2022 The Lee–Carter model is a well-known model in modeling mortality. We aim to compare three probability models (Poisson, negative binomial and binomial) based on the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) framework of the Lee–Carter model. These models are applied to mortality data for 10 selected countries (Japan, United States, United Kingdom, Australia ...
Azman S, Pathmanathan D.
europepmc +3 more sources
The Lee-Carter quantile mortality model [PDF]
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2020 The Lee-Carter (LC) stochastic mortality model has been widely used for making future projections of mortality rates. In the framework of the LC model, the response function is non-linear in parameters. Here, we adapt this LC framework to compute conditional quantiles.
MIGUEL Santolino
exaly +3 more sources
Is Excess Mortality Returning to Pre-Pandemic Levels? A Multi-Model Stochastic Approach for COVID-19: The Spanish Case [PDF]
EpidemiologiaIntroduction: This study quantifies excess mortality in Spain during and after the COVID-19 pandemic and assesses whether mortality levels are returning to pre-pandemic patterns.
Julio Ibáñez-Soriano +1 more
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Risks, 2018 Mortality forecasting has always been a target of study by academics and practitioners. Since the introduction and rising significance of securitization of risk in mortality and longevity, more in-depth studies regarding mortality have been carried out ...
Marie Angèle Cathleen Alijean +1 more
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A Fuzzy-Random Extension of the Lee–Carter Mortality Prediction Model
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems, 2019 The Lee–Carter model is a useful dynamic stochastic model to represent the evolution of central mortality rates throughout time. This model only considers the uncertainty about the coefficient related to the mortality trend over time but not to the age ...
Jorge de Andrés-Sánchez +1 more
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Estimation of Uncertainty in Mortality Projections Using State-Space Lee-Carter Model
Mathematics, 2020 The study develops alternatives of the classical Lee-Carter stochastic mortality model in assessment of uncertainty of mortality rates forecasts. We use the Lee-Carter model expressed as linear Gaussian state-space model or state-space model with ...
Rokas Gylys, Jonas Šiaulys
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The mortality of the Italian population: Smoothing techniques on the Lee–Carter model
Annals of Applied Statistics, 2011 Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS394 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)
Gabriella Piscopo, Maria Russolillo
exaly +6 more sources
The Usage of State Space Models in Mortality Modeling and Predictions [PDF]
Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal, 2023 In demography, mortality modeling with respect to age and time dimensions is often associated with the traditionally used Lee-Carter model. The Lee-Carter model considers a constant set of parameters of agespecific mortality change for forecasts, which ...
Martin Matějka, Ivana Malá
doaj +1 more source