Results 1 to 10 of about 17,391 (112)

Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan [PDF]

Frontiers in Oncology, 2023
BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik, Fang Wang, Lisha Luo, Kamal Hezam, Chuanhua Yu   +4 more
doaj   +4 more sources

Comparative Study of Mortality Rate Prediction Using Data-Driven Recurrent Neural Networks and the Lee–Carter Model

Big Data and Cognitive Computing, 2022
The Lee–Carter model could be considered as one of the most important mortality prediction models among stochastic models in the field of mortality.
Yuan Chen, Abdul Q. M. Khaliq
doaj   +3 more sources

A Deep Learning Integrated Lee–Carter Model

Risks, 2019
In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model,
Andrea Nigri, Susanna Levantesi, Mario Marino, Salvatore Scognamiglio, Francesca Perla   +4 more
doaj   +3 more sources

Is Excess Mortality Returning to Pre-Pandemic Levels? A Multi-Model Stochastic Approach for COVID-19: The Spanish Case [PDF]

Epidemiologia
Introduction: This study quantifies excess mortality in Spain during and after the COVID-19 pandemic and assesses whether mortality levels are returning to pre-pandemic patterns.
Julio Ibáñez-Soriano, Francisco G. Morillas-Jurado   +1 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Estimation of Uncertainty in Mortality Projections Using State-Space Lee-Carter Model

Mathematics, 2020
The study develops alternatives of the classical Lee-Carter stochastic mortality model in assessment of uncertainty of mortality rates forecasts. We use the Lee-Carter model expressed as linear Gaussian state-space model or state-space model with ...
Rokas Gylys, Jonas Šiaulys
doaj   +3 more sources

Managing Mortality and Aging Risks with a Time-Varying Lee-Carter Model. [PDF]

Healthcare (Basel), 2023
Chen Z, Shi Y, Shu A.
europepmc   +2 more sources

The Usage of State Space Models in Mortality Modeling and Predictions [PDF]

Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal, 2023
In demography, mortality modeling with respect to age and time dimensions is often associated with the traditionally used Lee-Carter model. The Lee-Carter model considers a constant set of parameters of agespecific mortality change for forecasts, which ...
Martin Matějka, Ivana Malá
doaj   +1 more source

Comparative Study of Lee Carter and Arch Model in Modelling Female Mortality in Nigeria

UMYU Scientifica Journal, 2022
Using Nigeria mortality data from 2009 to 2020, this study compares and contrasts how well the Lee-Carter and ARCH models performed. Singular value decomposition (SVD) method, Langrage multiplier test, and autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ...
Aliyu Umar Shelleng, Yahaya Jamil Sule, Jibrin Yahaya Kajuru, Adamu Kabiru   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Should Selection of the Optimum Stochastic Mortality Model Be Based on the Original or the Logarithmic Scale of the Mortality Rate?

Risks, 2023
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms, that is,
Miguel Santolino
doaj   +1 more source

A New Fourier Approach under the Lee-Carter Model for Incorporating Time-Varying Age Patterns of Structural Changes

Risks, 2022
The prediction of future mortality improvements is of substantial importance for areas such as population projection, government welfare policies, pension planning and annuity pricing.
Sixian Tang, Jackie Li, Leonie Tickle
doaj   +1 more source