Business Cycle Analysis with Multivariate Markov Switching Models [PDF]
The class of Markov switching models can be extended in two main directions in a multivariate framework. In the first approach, the switching dynamics are introduced by way of a common latent factor.
Jacques Anas +3 more
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Multivariate Markov switching with weighted regime determination: giving France more weight than Finland [PDF]
This article deals with using panel data to infer regime changes that are common to all of the cross section. The methods presented here apply to Markov switching vector autoregressions, dynamic factor models with Markov switching and other multivariate ...
Martin Sola, Michael J. Dueker
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Using GAM functions and Markov-Switching models in an evaluation framework to assess countries' performance in controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. [PDF]
BMC Public Health, 2021 de Oliveira AMB +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
A Generalized ARFIMA Process with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter [PDF]
We propose a general class of Markov-switching-ARFIMA processes in order to combine strands of long memory and Markov-switching literature. Although the coverage of this class of models is broad, we show that these models can be easily estimated with the
Wen-Jen Tsay, Wolfgang Härdle
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Finite-Time Annular Domain Stability and Stabilization of Regime-Switching Jump Diffusion System
IEEE AccessIn this paper, the finite-time annular domain stability and stabilization of regime-switching jump diffusion system are discussed. With the help of explicit solution of multi-dimensional regime-switching jump diffusion system, we give the sufficient and ...
Ran Ni, Gui-Hua Zhao
doaj +1 more source
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models [PDF]
This paper introduces a new regression model - Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS) - that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of mixed-frequency data in Markov ...
Massimiliano Marcellino, Pierre Guerin
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Predicting the incidence of brucellosis in Western Iran using Markov switching model. [PDF]
BMC Res Notes, 2021 Mohammadian-Khoshnoud M +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Oil and the G7 business cycle : Friedman's Plucking Markov Switching Approach [PDF]
To analyze whether oil price can account for the business cycle asymmetries in the G7, this paper adopts the Friedman’s Plucking Markov Switching Model to decompose G7 real GDPs into common permanent components, common transitory components, infrequent ...
Jae Ho, Yoon
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Cointegration and Regime-Switching Risk Premia in the US Term Structure of Interest Rates [PDF]
To date the cointegrating properties and the regime-switching behavior of the term structure are two separate strands of the literature. This paper integrates these lines of research and introduces regime shifts into a cointegrated VAR model.
Peter Tillmann
core +3 more sources
Measuring Business Cycle Turning Points in Japan with a Dynamic Markov Switching Factor Model [PDF]
In the dynamic factor model, a single unobserved factor common to some macroeconomic variables is defined as a composite index to measure business cycles.
Watanabe, Toshiaki
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