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Mortality projection using two probabilistic models. Applications and limitations. [PDF]
This paper is focused on Lee-Carter Model and Functional Data Model, both of which were de veloped in the field of Statistics. These models are applied in order to carry out the projection of mortality and life expectancies at birth on three departments ...
LUCIA ANDREOZZI
doaj +1 more source
Summary Background The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), set in 2015 by the UN General Assembly, call for all countries to reach an under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) of at least as low as 25 deaths per 1000 livebirths and a neonatal mortality rate (NMR ...
D. Sharrow +17 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
It is uncertain what climate change could bring to populations and countries in the hot desert environment of the Arabian Peninsula. Not only because they are already hot, countries in this region also have unique demographic profiles, with migrant ...
B. Alahmad +6 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
The empirical evidence from different countries point out many of those who die from coronavirus would have died anyway in the relatively near future due to their existing frailties or co-morbidities.
Maria Carannante +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Substantial progress has been made in the diagnosis, management, and treatment of breast cancer over the last decades. This has affected mortality rates but has also led to inequality in epidemiological trends between different regions of the world.
Cezary Wojtyla +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Projecting Mortality Rates Using a Markov Chain [PDF]
We present a mortality model where future stochastic changes in population-wide mortality are driven by a finite-state hierarchical Markov chain. A baseline mortality in an initial ‘Alive’ state is calculated as the average logarithm of the observed mortality rates.
Jaap Spreeuw +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
Light limitation and coral mortality in urbanised reef communities due to sea-level rise
Sea-level rise (SLR) is expected to elevate the depth of seawater above shallow coral reefs, reducing light availability to the benthic environment, and impacting the survival and growth of corals especially on turbid reefs. However, the extent of impact
Mei Ting Law, Danwei Huang
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Discount Rates, Mortality Projections, and Money's Worth Calculations for US Individual Annuities
Estimates the expected present discounted value (EPDV) of future payouts on both immediate and deferred annuities are sensitive to the discount rate used to value future payment streams and assumptions about future mortality rates. This paper illustrates
J. Poterba, Adam N. Solomon
semanticscholar +1 more source
The global landscape of bladder cancer incidence and mortality in 2020 and projections to 2040
Background Bladder cancer (BCa) is one of the most common urological malignancies worldwide. This study examines the global epidemiological profile of BCa incidence and mortality in 2020 and the projected burden to 2040.
Yanting Zhang +5 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
BACKGROUND & AIMS To provide an overview of the burden of esophageal cancer in 185 countries in 2020 and projections for the year 2040. METHODS Estimates of esophageal cancer cases and deaths were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database for 2020.
E. Morgan +8 more
semanticscholar +1 more source

