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Gender and overconfidence: are girls really overconfident?

Applied Economics Letters, 2011
Previous research finds that people are overconfident and that men are more overconfident than women. Using a very precise confidence measure, this article shows, however, that whereas boys are overconfident, girls are actually underconfident regarding their mathematics performance.
L. Dahlbom   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

A study of expert overconfidence

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2008
Overconfidence is one of the most common (and potentially severe) problems in expert judgment. To assess the extent of expert overconfidence, we analyzed a large data set on expert opinion compiled by Cooke and colleagues at the Technical University of Delft and elsewhere.
Shi-Woei Lin, Vicki Bier
exaly   +3 more sources

Overconfidence In Overconfidence

1991
Displays of “calibration curves” - very well replicated results of probability ratings on two-alternative knowledge questions - are often interpreted as an indication of human “overconfidence”. Several influential researchers see this phenomenon as another instance of selfserving and theory confirming biases. This interpretation of the empirical result
openaire   +1 more source

Overconfidence and Bailouts

2018
Empirical evidence suggests that managerial overconfidence and government guarantees contribute substantially to excessive risk-taking in the banking industry. This paper incorporates managerial overconfidence and limited bank liability into a principal-agent model, where the bank manager unobservably chooses effort and risk.
openaire   +2 more sources

Overconfidence and Rigid Mindset: Does 90% Overconfidence Always Equal 90% Overconfidence?

Academy of Management Proceedings, 2013
Overconfidence occurs when the certainty that one knows specific facts exceeds the accuracy of that knowledge. Overconfidence is extremely common.
Mark Simon, John Kim, Susan Houghton
openaire   +1 more source

The Three Faces of Overconfidence

Social and Personality Psychology Compass, 2017
Overconfidence has been studied in three distinct ways. Overestimation is thinking that you are better than you are. Overplacement is the exaggerated belief that you are better than others. Overprecision is the excessive faith that you know the truth.
Don A. Moore, Derek Schatz
openaire   +1 more source

Overconfidence and financial decision-making: a meta-analysis

Review of Behavioral Finance, 2021
Matus Grežo
exaly  

The forms of financial literacy overconfidence and their role in financial well-being

International Journal of Consumer Studies, 2021
Daniel Kehl, Oliver Kovacs
exaly  

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