Results 71 to 80 of about 57,084 (288)
Wonder as a Gateway to Science Meaning‐Making: Primary Pupils’ Narrative Journeys
Future in Educational Research, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study explores how wonder fosters transformative learning in science education for pupils (11–12 years old), creating meaning about cycles in nature. As an emotional and epistemic trigger, wonder may bridge everyday experiences with abstract scientific concepts by stimulating curiosity and creativity. Through a narrative writing task, the
Pauline Book, Siri‐Christine Seehuus
wiley +1 more source
Effects of instruction on students’ overconfidence in introductory quantum mechanics
Physical Review Physics Education Research, 2020 Students’ ability to assess their own knowledge is an important skill in science education. However, students often overestimate their actual performances. In such cases, overconfidence bias arises.
Italo Testa +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Entrepreneurial success and failure: Confidence and fallible judgement [PDF]
Excess entry – or the high failure rate of market-entry decisions – is often attributed to overconfidence exhibited by entreprene urs. We show analytically that whereas excess entry is an inevitable consequence of imperfect assessments of entrepreneurial
Natalia Karelaia, Robin Hogarth
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Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley +1 more source
Overconfidence and excess entry: a comparison between students and managers [PDF]
Overconfidence can lead to excessive business entry. Here we replicate the pioneer experiment finding this nexus (Camerer and Lovallo 1999) and extend it in two major directions: (1) to consider managers as well as student subjects and (2) to explicitly ...
A. Felipe Rodrigues +2 more
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The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley +1 more source
Overconfidence Can Improve an Agent's Relative and Absolute Performance in Contests [PDF]
, 2010 This paper suggests a potential rationale for the recent empirical finding that overconfident agents tend to self-select into more competitive environments (e.g. Dohmen and Falk, forthcoming).
Ludwig, Sandra +2 more
core +3 more sources
Practice adoption in MNCS: A multi‐level interactionist model of trait activation
Global Strategy Journal, EarlyView.Abstract Research Summary Sharing knowledge through organizational practices is an important source of advantage for multinational corporations (MNCs). While prior research on practice adoption by subsidiaries of MNCs has identified several individual and organizational factors, this study examines their interplay in the context of HQ‐mandated ...
Sven Kunisch +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Review of Economic StudiesAbstract We develop a model of multi-dimensional misspecified learning in which an overconfident agent learns about groups in society from observations of his and others’ successes. We show that the average person sees his group relative to other groups too positively, and this in-group bias exhibits systematic comparative-statics ...
Heidhues, Paul +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
The effect of CEO overconfidence on bank risk taking [PDF]
Recent studies document that some CEOs are overconfident. In this note, we examine the effect of CEO overconfidence on bank risk taking. We measure CEO overconfidence using press data, and bank risk taking using the standard deviation of stock returns ...
Jijun Niu
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