Results 121 to 130 of about 32,823 (296)
Trends in Business and EconomicsIndividual investors exhibiting irrational behaviors may encounter a difficult situation in financial markets. Investor trends, also known as behavioral trends, have been introduced under different headlines in different studies.
Salih Aydın, Beyza Demir, Bekir Elmas
doaj +1 more source
Overconfidence is a Social Signaling Bias [PDF]
Evidence from psychology and economics indicates that many individuals overestimate their ability, both absolutely and relatively. We test three different theories about observed relative overconfidence.
Burks, Stephen V. +3 more
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Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley +1 more source
Does overconfident CEO lead to corporate environmental misconducts? Evidence from China.
PLoS ONEEnterprises are drawing growing criticism for violating environmental rules. The research examines whether and how top executives' mental bias leads to corporate environmental misconduct (CEI).
Lu Zhang +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Jurnal Ilmiah AkuntansiPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji pengaruh overconfidence terhadap keputusan investasi generasi Z di Indonesia serta peran literasi keuangan syariah sebagai variabel moderasi dalam hubungan tersebut. Metode yang digunakan adalah survei kuantitatif
Achmad Fauzi
doaj +1 more source
Coexistence and dynamics of overconfidence and strategic incentives. [PDF]
We present a two-stage model for the decision making process of financial analysts when issuing earnings forecasts. In the first stage, financial analysts perform a fundamental earnings analysis in which they are, potentially, subject to a behavioral ...
Bosquet, Katrien +2 more
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Quantifying driving ensemble influence on operational convection‐permitting ensemble spread
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.By comparing statistics of precipitation patterns between a convection‐permitting ensemble and the global ensemble used to drive it, we investigate the conditions under which the convection‐permitting ensemble diverges from the evolution of the driving ensemble.
Adam Gainford +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Comment: The Need for Syncretism in Applied Statistics
, 2010 Comment on "The Need for Syncretism in Applied Statistics" [arXiv:1012.1161]Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-STS308A the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www ...
Greenland, Sander
core +1 more source
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley +1 more source
Can Racially Unbiased Police Perpetuate Long-Run Discrimination? [PDF]
We develop a stylized dynamic model of highway policing in which a non-racist police officer exhibits a cognitive bias: relative overconfidence. The officer is given incentives to arrest criminals but faces a per stop cost which increases when the racial
Bunzel, Helle, Marcoul, Philippe
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