Results 141 to 150 of about 953 (161)

Overprecision in Estimates of Physical Constants (OPE)

2023
Are the reported uncertainties of physical constants overconfident? We aim to answer this question by analyzing the internationally recommended values of over 200 constants given by the Committee on Data for Science and Technology (CODATA).
Chan, Mitchell, Moore, Don A.
openaire   +1 more source

“Unmotivated bias” and partisan hostility: Empirical evidence [PDF]

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 2019
Extreme partisan animosity has been on the rise in the US and is prevalent around the world. This hostility is typically attributed to social group identity, motivated reasoning, or a combination thereof.
Daniel F Stone
exaly   +2 more sources

Decision-making biases: novice and habitual women entrepreneurs

Human Resource Management International Digest, 2023
Purpose This paper aims to review the latest management developments across the globe and pinpoint practical implications from cutting-edge research and case studies.

semanticscholar   +1 more source

COGNITIVE SKILLS AND CONFIDENCE: INTERRELATIONS WITH OVERESTIMATION, OVERPLACEMENT AND OVERPRECISION

Bulletin of Economic Research, 2015
ABSTRACTThis experimental study measures the three major types of judgmental overconfidence in a within‐subjects design. Performance‐based overestimation and overplacement are elicited in a Raven Progressive Matrices test for general intelligence. Calibration‐based overprecision is evaluated in a forecasting by confidence intervals task.
openaire   +1 more source

Assumptions, Disagreement, and Overprecision: Theory and Evidence

Constructing beliefs about the world often requires simplifying assumptions. However, it is often cognitively costly or even impossible to consider how all possible assumptions might affect beliefs. We develop a formal model of individuals who properly recognize uncertainty conditional on their assumptions (“within-model uncertainty”), but do not fully
Andrew T. Little, Don A Moore, Ned Augenblick, Matthew Backus   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

The micro and macro of managerial beliefs

Journal of Financial Economics, 2018
This paper studies how biases in managerial beliefs affect managerial decisions, firm performance, and the macroeconomy. Using a new survey of US managers I establish three facts. (1) Managers are not over-optimistic: sales growth forecasts on average do
Jose Maria Barrero
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Overconfidence Bias in Financial Decision-Making: Evidencefrom Culinary MSMEs in Banjarmasin, ‎Indonesia

International Journal of Accounting and Economics Studies
This study examines the role of overconfidence bias in shaping financial decision-making among culinary MSMEs in ‎Banjarmasin, Indonesia. Although overconfidence has been recognized as a behavioral bias influencing financial ‎decisions, empirical ...
Rika Sylvia, Asrid Juniar, Sarwani, D. Dewi   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Overconfidence and French SME performance

Finance Contrôle Stratégie
This paper investigates the relationship between entrepreneur overconfidence and French SMEs’ performance. Using a unique dataset linking objective firm financial performance to the individual characteristics and cognitive biases of their owners, we ...
Juliette Bijlholt, Anaïs Hamelin, Marie Pfiffelmann   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Research on the Bullwhip Effect Based on Retailers’ Overconfidence in the Sustainable Supply Chain

Sustainability
The core characteristic of the bullwhip effect is that upstream companies overproduce or hoard inventory due to information distortion, leading to resource waste and increased carbon emissions, which severely affects the economic, environmental, and ...
Liguo Zhou, Shan Lu, D. Si
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Influence of Behavioral Biases and Islamic Financial Literacy on Investment Decisions of Young Investors in Malaysia

International Journal of Management, Business, and Social Sciences
This study aims to analyze the influence of behavioral bias and Islamic financial literacy on students' investment decisions as a representation of young Muslim investors. An explanatory quantitative approach was used by collecting data through an online
Saiful Bahri, A. Abdullah, Sunarto, Deswita Siti Nurul Aeni, Laila Hasna Risqiya   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source