Overprecision - Open Access .click

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Subjective Probability Interval Estimates: A Simple and Effective Way to Reduce Overprecision in Judgment

2011
Overprecision in judgment is the most robust type of overconfidence, and the one least susceptible to debiasing. It refers to people’s excessive certainty in the accuracy of their estimates, predictions or beliefs. Research on overprecision finds that confidence intervals, estimated ranges that judges are confident will include the correct answer, tend
openaire +1 more source

Pareto Data Framework: Steps Towards Resource-Efficient Decision Making Using Minimum Viable Data (MVD)

arXiv.org
This paper introduces the Pareto Data Framework, an approach for identifying and selecting the Minimum Viable Data (MVD) required for enabling machine learning applications on constrained platforms such as embedded systems, mobile devices, and Internet ...
Tashfain Ahmed, J. Siegel
semanticscholar +1 more source

Overconfidence Bias as an Explanation of Economic Behaviours

Highlights in Business, Economics and Management
Overconfidence is a cognitive bias that primarily consists of three components: overestimation, overplacement, and overprecision. Overconfidence bias has a wide range of applications in real-life scenarios like medical, educational, and financial fields.
Yijia Zhang
semanticscholar +1 more source

Overprecision is a property of thinking systems.

Psychological Review, 2023
Don A Moore
exaly

Can financial literacy overconfidence be predicted by narcissistic tendencies?

Review of Behavioral Finance, 2021
Cagri Hamurcu
exaly

Financial Overconfidence Over Time - Foresight, Hindsight, and Insight of Investors

, 2017
Christoph Merkle
semanticscholar +1 more source

The micro and macro of managerial beliefs

Journal of Financial Economics, 2022
exaly

Is Overconfidence a Risk Factor for Excessive Trading?