Learning motivation and self-assessment in health economics: a survey on overconfidence in healthcare providers. [PDF]
BMJ OpenBushuven S +8 more
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The role of self-confidence in teamwork: experimental evidence. [PDF]
Exp EconBruhin A, Petros F, Santos-Pinto L.
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Computer Self-Efficacy and Reactions to Feedback: Reopening the Debate in an Interpretive Experiment with Overconfident Students. [PDF]
Behav Sci (Basel)Porto-Bellini CG, Serpa ML, Pereira RCF.
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Biotechnology Approaches to Dairy Alternatives Through Precision Fermentation and Cellular Agriculture. [PDF]
Food Sci Anim ResourPurba RAP, Sangsawad P.
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Exploring Interaction between Genetically Predicted Body Mass Index and Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Levels on the Odds for Psoriasis in UK Biobank and the HUNT Study: A Factorial Mendelian Randomization Study. [PDF]
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Wide of the mark: Evidence on the underlying causes of overprecision in judgment
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2015Over-precision is the most robust and least understood form of overconfidence. In an attempt to elucidate the underlying causes of over-precision in judgment, the present paper offers a new approach — examining people’s beliefs about the likelihood of chance events drawn from known probability distributions.
Ashli B Carter, Don A Moore
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Experts play a crucial role in modern organizations, but evidence regarding the soundness and reliability of their decision-making is mixed and often contradictory.
Jerry Kim
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Ambiguity overprecision and optimal capital requirements in continuous time
Journal of Economic Dynamics and ControlQian Lin, Weidong Tian, Li Jingyuan
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Overprecision in Estimates of Physical Constants (OPE)
2023Are the reported uncertainties of physical constants overconfident? We aim to answer this question by analyzing the internationally recommended values of over 200 constants given by the Committee on Data for Science and Technology (CODATA).
Chan, Mitchell, Moore, Don A.
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COMPETING TO BE CERTAIN (BUT WRONG): SOCIAL PRESSURE AND OVERPRECISION IN JUDGMENT.
Academy of Management Proceedings, 2009We present two experiments in which advisors attempt to sell their advice, one in which advisors compete for influence in a market setting and one in which advisors and decision makers are paired throughout. Overprecision exists in both studies and helps advisors sell their advice. However, the market exacerbates overprecision.
JOSEPH R. RADZEVICK, DON A. MOORE
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