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Proper scoring rules : properties and applications [PDF]

, 2020
Proper and strictly proper scoring rules provide a rigorous method for evaluating the accuracy of a probabilistic forecast while encouraging honesty. In this dissertation, we develop new proper and strictly proper scoring rules. We introduce additive and
Smith, Zachary James
core   +1 more source

Early Body Mass Index z‐Score Change and Resolution of Severe Malnutrition in Children With Sickle Cell Anemia in a Low‐Income Setting: A Prospective Single‐Arm Extension Study

Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Background Children with sickle cell anemia (SCA) in low‐income settings are at risk of severe malnutrition, but optimal nutritional management has not been established. We evaluated an intensified ready‐to‐use therapeutic food (RUTF) regimen in children with persistent severe malnutrition after initial treatment and assessed whether early ...
Safiya Gambo, Shehu Umar Abdullahi, Hassan Adam Murtala, Halima Kabir, Khadija A. Shamsu, Sari A. Acra, Virginia A. Stallings, Mark Rodeghier, Michael R. DeBaun, Lauren J. Klein   +9 more
wiley   +1 more source

Hybrid Heuristic Algorithm Based On Improved Rules & Reinforcement Learning for 2D Strip Packing Problem

IEEE Access, 2020
A hybrid heuristic algorithm based on improved rules and reinforcement learning is proposed to solve the 2D strip packing problem (2DSPP). Firstly, the scoring rules based on the skyline algorithm are improved by considering the “two-step” ...
Kai Zhu, Naihua Ji, Xiang Dong Li
doaj   +1 more source

Comparative Drug Response Profiling in Neuroblastoma Cell Lines and Patient‐Derived Tumor Organoids

Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT High‐risk neuroblastoma remains a leading cause of pediatric cancer mortality, and improved preclinical models are needed to guide therapeutic developments. We screened seven high‐risk neuroblastoma cell lines and three patient‐derived tumor organoids with 528 compounds alongside bone marrow controls, and compared them with external datasets ...
Krzysztof Wierbiłowicz, Se Whee Sammy Park, Aironas Los, Ernest Liu, Nona Struyf, Tom Erkers, Sören Lehmann, Jan J. Molenaar, Jakob Stenman, Olli Kallioniemi, Päivi Östling, Brinton Seashore‐Ludlow, Kasper Karlsson   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Distribution‐Based Model Evaluation and Diagnostics: Elicitability, Propriety, and Scoring Rules for Hydrograph Functionals

Water Resources Research
Distribution forecasts P over future quantities or events are routinely made in hydrology but usually traded for a (likelihood‐weighted) mean or median prediction to accommodate error measures or scoring functions such as the mean absolute error or mean ...
Jasper A. Vrugt
doaj   +1 more source

Prediction Markets as Calibration Teachers for Real-Time Bidding: Market Pricing Meets Ad Auctions

Journal of Advanced Computing Systems
Real-time bidding (RTB) systems hinge on calibrated conversion estimates because small probability errors are amplified into large budget allocation and auction outcomes.
Hanqi Zhang
doaj   +1 more source

Soccer small-sided games in young players: rule modification to induce higher physiological responses

Biology of Sport, 2017
The aim of this study was to identify the physiological responses of 3 forms of players’ numbers during two different games rules of small-sided games (SSG: stop-ball vs. small-goals rules).
J Halouani, H Chtourou, A Dellal, A Chaouachi, K Chamari   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Social Functioning Within the First Years After Pediatric Brain Tumor Diagnosis and the Relationship With Family Psychosocial Risk

Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Background Survivors of pediatric brain tumors (PBTs) can experience long‐term social difficulties, impacting quality of life. Beyond medical and environmental factors, family psychosocial risk may play a role in social outcomes by shaping the caregiving environment and may provide intervention options.
Renske H. Houben, Marisa H. Huisman, Martha A. Grootenhuis, Femke K. Aarsen, Marita Partanen   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

AN IT2FS MODEL FOR SHARIA CREDIT SCORING: ANALYSIS & DESIGN

Jurnal Sistem Informasi, 2014
Credit scoring system is a classic problem which is still interesting to study. There are many studies on credit scoring. But, most of them only discuss feasibility analysis.
Galih Kurniawan Sidik, Taufik Djatna, Agus Buono   +2 more
doaj   +3 more sources

A Generalisation of the Signal‐to‐Noise Ratio Using Proper Scoring Rules

Meteorological Applications
A generalised concept of the signal‐to‐noise ratio (SNR) (or equivalently the ratio of predictable components, or RPC) is provided, based on proper scoring rules.
Jochen Bröcker, Eviatar Bach
doaj   +1 more source