Results 11 to 20 of about 2,899,788 (293)

Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate

Nature Communications
Scientific agencies spend substantial sums producing and improving forecasts of seasonal climate, but they do so without much information about these forecasts’ value in practice.
Derek Lemoine, Sarah Kapnick
doaj   +4 more sources

Sensitivity of Seasonal Climate Forecasts to Persisted SST Anomalies [PDF]

Climate Dynamics, 2001
Most estimates of the skill of atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) for forecasting seasonal climate anomalies have been based on simulations with actual observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) as lower boundary forcing. Similarly estimates of
Goddard, Lisa M., Mason, Simon J.
core   +5 more sources

Insights into the value of seasonal climate forecasts to agriculture

Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2020
Seasonal climate forecasts (forecasts) aim to reduce climate‐related productivity risk by helping farmers make decisions that minimise losses in poor years and maximise profits in good years. Most Australian forecast valuations have focused on fertiliser
Cobon, David, Kodur, Shreevatsa, Louis Kouadio, Crean, Jason, Crean, J, Simpson, Marja, Pudmenzky, C, David H Cobon, Cobon, DH, Kodur, S, Darbyshire, R, Anwar, MR, Anwar, Muhuddin Rajin, Pudmenzky, Christa, Jason Crean, Rebecca Darbyshire, Darbyshire, Rebecca, Christa Pudmenzky, Broadfoot, Kim, Simpson, M, Muhuddin Rajin Anwar, Kim M Broadfoot, Cashen, Michael, Kouadio, L, Broadfoot, KM, Kouadio, Louis, Shreevatsa Kodur, Cashen, M, Marja Simpson, Michael Cashen   +29 more
core   +4 more sources

Stakeholder networks: Improving seasonal climate forecasts

Climatic Change, 2004
Metadata only recordTo be diffused, scientific innovations need to reach a wide audience through diverse networks. This paper details how seasonal climate forecasts are spread through networks of stakeholders.
Ziervogel, Gina, Downing, T. E., Gina Ziervogel, Thomas E. Downing   +3 more
core   +3 more sources

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? [PDF]

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2018
This paper considers whether there is any added value in using seasonal climate forecasts instead of historical meteorological observations for forecasting streamflow on seasonal timescales over Europe. A Europe-wide analysis of the skill of the newly
L. Arnal, L. Arnal, H. L. Cloke, H. L. Cloke, H. L. Cloke, H. L. Cloke, E. Stephens, F. Wetterhall, C. Prudhomme, C. Prudhomme, C. Prudhomme, J. Neumann, B. Krzeminski, F. Pappenberger   +13 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Role of Temperature Variability on Seasonal Electricity Demand in the Southern US

Frontiers in Sustainable Cities, 2021
The reliable and affordable supply of energy through interconnected systems represent a critical infrastructure challenge. Seasonal and interannual variability in climate variables—primarily precipitation and temperature—can increase the vulnerability of
Dylan Cawthorne, Anderson Rodrigo de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo de Queiroz, Hadi Eshraghi, Arumugam Sankarasubramanian, Joseph F. DeCarolis   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Improved Skills for Predicting Sub‐Seasonal to Seasonal Global Sea Surface Temperature [PDF]

Advanced science
Addressing the critical Sub‐seasonal to Seasonal predictability gap, this study presents CAS‐Canglong, a novel deep learning framework. By leveraging 3D Swin‐Transformers to capture long‐range ocean interactions, the model demonstrates superior skill over traditional GCMs.
Wang L, Zhang X, Leung R, Chiew F, AghaKouchak A, Ying K, Zhang Y.   +6 more
europepmc   +2 more sources

Flexible forecast presentation overcomes longstanding obstacles to using probabilistic seasonal forecasts

Frontiers in Climate, 2022
We describe an innovative forecast presentation that aims to overcome obstacles to using seasonal climate forecasts for decision making, trace factors that influenced how seasonal forecast conventions have evolved, and describe a workshop process for ...
James W. Hansen, Tufa Dinku, Andrew W. Robertson, Remi Cousin, Sylwia Trzaska, Simon J. Mason   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal Climate Forecasts and Risk Management Among Georgia Farmers [PDF]

, 2008
Recent increases in the scientific robustness of seasonal climate forecasts have not led to substantial changes in farmers’ risk management strategies of actors, largely because there is poor integration of scientific forecasting into farmers’ decision ...
Hoogenhoom, G., Broad, K., Breuer, N.E, Paz, J., Ingram, K.T, Roncoli, C., Ingram, K.T., Crane, T.A, Breuer, N.E., Crane, T.A., Broad, K, Roncoli, C, Hoogenhoom, G, Paz, J   +13 more
core   +3 more sources

Seasonal discharge forecasting for the Upper Danube

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 2021
Study Region: The authors contributed with a seasonal forecast system for discharge in the case study area of the Upper Danube basin upstream of Vienna. The basin, with a drainage area of approx.
Ignacio Martin Santos, Mathew Herrnegger, Hubert Holzmann   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source