Weather Attention in Online Discourse and Price Uncertainty in Agricultural Futures Markets
ABSTRACT Weather is a central determinant of production risk in agricultural markets, but markets respond not only to weather conditions themselves, but also to how those conditions are noticed, framed, and interpreted in public discourse. In this setting, real‐time online weather discussions may shape price uncertainty by influencing how market ...
Mario A. Ortez +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Skill-informed seamless communication of European S2S hydrological forecasts
Sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) information holds significant socio-economic value for decision-makers relying on climate variability. While significant advancements have been made in S2S meteorological forecasting, skill variability among prediction ...
Ilias G Pechlivanidis, Louise Crochemore
doaj +1 more source
r-a-dobson/seasonal-forecasting-quelea: V1.0
<p>First release of seasonal-forecasting-quelea repository containing code and data for generating seasonal forecasts of red-billed quelea (<em>Quelea quelea</em>) distribution up to seven months ahead</p ...
radobson
core +1 more source
Economic Impact of Sustainability in Wine Sector: A Systematic Literature Review
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become a key issue in the wine sector, raising questions about its compatibility with firms' economic performance. Despite growing attention to environmental and social practices, evidence on their economic implications remains fragmented.
Valentina Di Chiara +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Domestic and External Drivers of Brazilian Pork Price Volatility Under Russian Trade Policies
ABSTRACT This study investigates how Russian trade policies and domestic factors influence the volatility of Brazilian live swine prices from 2004 to 2019. We employ a DCC‐MGARCH framework, along with volatility impulse‐response functions and the connectedness approach, to analyze time‐varying co‐movement and dynamic volatility spillovers across pork ...
Gabriel Rosero +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts [PDF]
A couple of recent papers have shifted the focus towards disagreement of professional forecasters. When dealing with survey data that is sampled at a frequency higher than annual and that includes only fixed event forecasts, e.g.
Jonas Dovern, Ulrich Fritsche
core +2 more sources
Improved sub-seasonal forecasts to support preparedness action for meningitis outbreak in Africa.
Dione C +11 more
europepmc +1 more source
ACCESS-S2 seasonal forecasts of rainfall and the SAM–rainfall relationship during the grain growing season in south-west Western Australia [PDF]
South-west Western Australia (SWWA) is home to a world class grains industry that is significantly affected by periods of drought. Previous research has shown a link between the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and rainfall in SWWA, especially during winter ...
Kala, Jatin +4 more
core +1 more source
ABSTRACT Aim In Japan, the National Clinical Database (NCD), a clinician‐reported registry, and the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan Open Data (NDB Open Data), an administrative claims database, are both widely used as nationwide surgical databases, but their consistency in capturing national surgical ...
Atomu Kiriyama +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate
Scientific agencies spend substantial sums producing and improving forecasts of seasonal climate, but they do so without much information about these forecasts’ value in practice.
Derek Lemoine, Sarah Kapnick
doaj +1 more source

