Results 51 to 60 of about 327,440 (196)

A promising alternative to prediction of seasonal mean all India rainfall [PDF]

open access: yes, 2007
Prediction of seasonal mean All India Rainfall (AIR) is useful during extreme monsoon years (droughts and floods) when the rainfall anomaly is homogeneous over the country. It is, however, useless for any regional hydro-meteorological applications during
Goswami, BN, Xavier, PK
core  

Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models

open access: yesEnvironmental Research Letters, 2017
The Ethiopian economy and population is strongly dependent on rainfall. Operational seasonal predictions for the main rainy season (Kiremt, June–September) are based on statistical approaches with Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) as the main ...
Stephanie Gleixner   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal Performance of a Nonhydrostatic Global Atmospheric Model on a Cubed‐Sphere Grid

open access: yesEarth and Space Science, 2021
The Korean Integrated Model (KIM), a recently developed nonhydrostatic global atmospheric model over a cubed‐sphere grid, was deployed in April 2020 as an operational weather forecasting model.
Jung‐Eun Esther Kim   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Weather, climate, and hydrologic forecasting for the US Southwest: A survey [PDF]

open access: yes, 2002
As part of a regional integrated assessment of climate vulnerability, a survey was conducted from June 1998 to May 2000 of weather, climate, and hydrologic forecasts with coverage of the US Southwest and an emphasis on the Colorado River Basin.
Bales, R, Hartmann, HC, Sorooshian, S
core   +1 more source

Seasonal Prediction Potential for Springtime Dustiness in the United States

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, 2019
Most dust forecast models focus on short, subseasonal lead times, that is, 3 to 6 days, and the skill of seasonal prediction is not clear. In this study we examine the potential of seasonal dust prediction in the United States using an observation ...
Bing Pu   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Retrospective Study on the Seasonal Forecast-Based Disease Intervention of the Wheat Blast Outbreaks in Bangladesh

open access: yesFrontiers in Plant Science, 2020
Seasonal disease risk prediction using disease epidemiological models and seasonal forecasts has been actively sought over the last decades, as it has been believed to be a key component in the disease early warning system for the pre-season planning of ...
Kwang-Hyung Kim, Eu Ddeum Choi
doaj   +1 more source

Oceanic stochastic parametrizations in a seasonal forecast system [PDF]

open access: yes, 2010
We study the impact of three stochastic parametrizations in the ocean component of a coupled model, on forecast reliability over seasonal timescales. The relative impacts of these schemes upon the ocean mean state and ensemble spread are analyzed.
Andrejczuk, M.   +5 more
core   +3 more sources

Which univariate time series model predicts quicker a crisis? The Iberia case [PDF]

open access: yes, 1996
In this paper four univariate models are fitted to monthly observations of the number of passengers in the Spanish airline IBERIA from January 1985 to October 1994. During the first part of the sample, the series shows an upward trend which has a rupture
Lorenzo, Fernando, Ruiz, Esther
core   +5 more sources

Seasonal Predictability of Four Major Crop Yields Worldwide by a Hybrid System of Dynamical Climate Prediction and Eco-Physiological Crop-Growth Simulation

open access: yesFrontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 2020
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prediction accuracy of a newly developed crop yield prediction system, composed of a dynamical seasonal climate prediction model (SINTEX-F2) and an eco-physiological process-based crop growth model (PRYSBI2).
Takeshi Doi   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction

open access: yes, 2023
Arctic sea ice plays a central role in the Earth’s climate. Changes in the sea ice on seasonal-to-interannual timescales impact ecosystems, populations and a growing number of stakeholders. A prerequisite for achieving better sea ice predictions is a better understanding of the underlying mechanisms of sea ice predictability.
openaire   +4 more sources

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