Results 31 to 40 of about 327,440 (196)

Four time series prediction models for incidence prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease: a comparative study

Zhongguo gonggong weisheng, 2022
ObjectiveTo compare the performance of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, Winter linear and seasonal exponential smoothing model, Census X12 seasonal decomposition model, and linear combination prediction model in incidence
Chao LIU, Yuan-yuan MENG, Qing-wen ZHANG
doaj   +1 more source

Meteorological time series forecasting based on MLP modelling using heterogeneous transfer functions

, 2014
In this paper, we propose to study four meteorological and seasonal time series coupled with a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) modeling. We chose to combine two transfer functions for the nodes of the hidden layer, and to use a temporal indicator (time ...
Muselli, Marc, Nivet, Marie Laure, Notton, Gilles, Paoli, Christophe, Voyant, Cyril   +4 more
core   +4 more sources

Modelling monsoons: understanding and predicting current and future behaviour [PDF]

, 2011
The global monsoon system is so varied and complex that understanding and predicting its diverse behaviour remains a challenge that will occupy modellers for many years to come.
Giannini, Alessandra, Kimoto, Masahide, Mechoso, C. Roberto, Meehl, Gerald, Slingo, Julia Mary, Sperber, Kenneth, Turner, Andrew George   +6 more
core   +1 more source

Skilful seasonal prediction of winter gas demand [PDF]

, 2019
In Britain, residential properties are predominantly heated using gas central heating systems. Ensuring a reliable supply of gas is therefore vital in protecting vulnerable sections of society from the adverse effects of cold weather. Ahead of the winter,
Bett, Philip E., Brayshaw, David, Dunstone, Nick, Hoskins, Brian, Scaife, Adam, Smith, Doug, Stringer, Nicky, Thornton, Hazel Elizabeth   +7 more
core   +2 more sources

How Robust Are the Surface Temperature Fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on Monthly Time Scales?

Geophysical Research Letters, 2018
It has been suggested that changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) can drive sea surface temperature (SST) on monthly time scales (Duchez et al., 2016, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382‐015‐2918‐1).
R. Alexander‐Turner, P. Ortega, J. I. Robson   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Nonstationarity of the link between the Tropics and the summer East Atlantic pattern

Atmospheric Science Letters, 2021
A 700‐year pre‐industrial control run with the MPI‐ESM‐LR model is used to investigate the link between the summer East Atlantic (SEA) pattern and the Pacific‐Caribbean rainfall dipole (PCD), a link that has previously been shown using ERA‐Interim ...
Ole Rieke, Richard J. Greatbatch, Gereon Gollan   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Predicting plankton net community production in the Atlantic Ocean [PDF]

, 2009
We present, test and implement two contrasting models to predict euphotic zone net community production (NCP), which are based on 14C primary production (PO14CP) to NCP relationships over two latitudinal (ca.
Agustí, Anderson, Arístegui, Bender, Berges, Bisset, Blight, Boyd, Burke, Carol Robinson, Cota, Cyr, del Giorgio, del Giorgio, Doney, Duarte, Duarte, Duarte, Emerson, Emerson, Emilio Fernández, Eva Teira, Fasham, Fogg, Gavin Tilstone, González, Gruber, Hairston, Hairston, Hansell, Hansell, Hansell, Hanson, Harris, Jansson, Karl, Karl, Kiddon, Kiørboe, Laws, Legendre, Longhurst, Longhurst, Ludwig, Margalef, McGrady-Steed, McNaughton, Michaels, Najjar, Ono, Pablo Serret, Pace, Peters, Polis, Polis, Pomeroy, Pérez, Quay, Rivkin, Robinson, Robinson, Robinson, Scavia, Schindler, Serret, Serret, Serret, Serret, Serret, Smith, Sokal, Steinberg, Stephens, Strayer, Tamigneaux, Teira, Teira, Teira, Tremblay, Valesca Pérez, Vézina, Wiens, Williams, Williams, Williams, Yamanaka   +85 more
core   +1 more source

Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events

Geophysical Research Letters, 2018
This work explores dynamical arguments for statistical prediction of stratospheric sudden warming events (SSWs). Based on climate model output, it focuses on two predictors, upward wave activity in the lower stratosphere and meridional potential ...
M. Jucker, T. Reichler
doaj   +1 more source

Statistical Deterministic and Ensemble Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Northwest Australian Region [PDF]

, 2017
Statistical seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones (TCs) has been ongoing for quite some time in many different ocean basins across the world. While a few basins (e.g., North Atlantic and western North Pacific) have been extensively studied and ...
Goebbert, Kevin H
core   +2 more sources

Prediction of monthly Arctic sea ice concentrations using satellite and reanalysis data based on convolutional neural networks [PDF]

, 2020
Changes in Arctic sea ice affect atmospheric circulation, ocean current, and polar ecosystems. There have been unprecedented decreases in the amount of Arctic sea ice due to global warming.
Han, Daehyeon, Im, Jungho, Kim, Hyun-Cheol, Kim, Young Jun, Lee, Sanggyun   +4 more
core   +1 more source