Results 31 to 40 of about 2,046,347 (299)

The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction (S2S) project database [PDF]

, 2016
A database containing sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasts from 11 operational centres is available to the research community and will help advance our understanding of the sub-seasonal to seasonal time range.\ud \ud Demands are growing rapidly in the operational prediction and applications communities for forecasts that fill the gap between medium-range
F Vitart, C Ardilouze, A Bonet, A Brookshaw, M Chen, C Codorean, M Déqué, L Ferranti, E Fucile, M Fuentes, H Hendon, J Hodgson, HS Kang, A Kumar, H Lin, G Liu, X Liu, P Malguzzi, I Mallas, M Manoussakis, D Mastrangelo, C MacLachlan, P McLean, A Minami, R Mladek, T Nakazawa, S Najm, Y Nie, M Rixen, A W Robertson, P Ruti, C Sun, Y Takaya, M Tolstykh, F Venuti, D Waliser, S Woolnough, T Wu, DJ Won, H Xiao, R Zaripov, L Zhang   +41 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Skillful seasonal predictions of winter precipitation over southern China

Environmental Research Letters, 2017
Southern China experiences large year-to-year variability in the amount of winter precipitation, which can result in severe social and economic impacts.
Bo Lu, Adam A Scaife, Nick Dunstone, Doug Smith, Hong-Li Ren, Ying Liu, Rosie Eade   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models

Environmental Research Letters, 2017
The Ethiopian economy and population is strongly dependent on rainfall. Operational seasonal predictions for the main rainy season (Kiremt, June–September) are based on statistical approaches with Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) as the main ...
Stephanie Gleixner, Noel S Keenlyside, Teferi D Demissie, François Counillon, Yiguo Wang, Ellen Viste   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Superiority of Mega‐ENSO Index in the Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity Over the Western North Pacific

Earth and Space Science, 2020
In this study, we compared the performance of two potential predicators, that is, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index (Niño‐3.4) and mega‐ENSO index, in the seasonal forecast of tropical cyclone (TC) activity and its spatial distribution over the ...
Yuan Sun, Zhong Zhong, Tim Li, Lan Yi, Jian Shi, Yixuan Shen, Kefeng Liu, Yijia Hu, Zanmin Xu   +8 more
doaj   +1 more source

Combining Dynamical and Statistical Modeling to Improve the Prediction of Surface Air Temperatures 2 Months in Advance: A Hybrid Approach

Frontiers in Climate, 2022
A new type of hybrid prediction system (HPS) of the land surface air temperature (SAT) is described and its skill evaluated for one particular application.
Pascal Oettli, Masami Nonaka, Ingo Richter, Hiroyuki Koshiba, Yosuke Tokiya, Itsumi Hoshino, Swadhin K. Behera   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Development of a European Multi-Model Ensemble System for Seasonal to Inter-Annual Prediction (DEMETER) [PDF]

, 2004
A multi-model ensemble-based system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction has been developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal to Interannual Prediction).
P. Rogel, Latif, M, Hagedorn, Renate, Latif, M., T. N. Palmer, Gualdi, Silvio, Orfila, B, Feddersen, Henrik, Andersen, U., Orfila, B., E. Maisonnave, Alessandri, A, A. Lazar, Thomson, M. C., Cantelaube, P, Orfila, Bartolomé, Rogel, P., M. Davey, Alessandri, Andrea, Gualdi, S., Lazar, Alban, Terres, J. M., Hagedorn, R, Delecluse, P, Marletto, Vittorio, Maisonnave, Éric, B. Orfila, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco Javier, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, Délécluse, P., Hagedorn, R., Palmer, T., Graham, Richard, P. Délécluse, Cantelaube, Pierre, Hoshen, M, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., J.-M. Terres, Morse, A., Cantelaube, P., Davey, M. K., Davey, M, Keenlyside, N., R. Graham, M. Latif, Palmer, TN, A. Alessandri, Diez, E., Marletto, V, Morse, AP, Guérémy, J. -F., M. Déqué, Maisonnave, E, Palmer, Tim, Thomson, Madeleine C., Thomson, MC, Feddersen, H, Terres, JM, Marletto, V., Rogel, P, Díez Muyo, Elia, Deque, M., Doblas-Reyes, FJ, Andersen, U, J.-F. Guérémy, Latif, Mojib, Hoshen, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., E. Díez, N. Keenlyside, A. P. Morse, Morse, Andrew, Thomson, M., Gueremy, JF, Feddersen, H., Gueremy, J.-F., H. Feddersen, S. Gualdi, Gualdi, S, Keenlyside, Noel, Deque, M, Lazar, A, Thomsen, M. C., Lazar, A., P. Cantelaube, U. Andersen, V. Marletto, R. Hagedorn, Davey, M., Déqué, Michel, Delécluse, Pascale, Alessandri, A., Graham, R., M. C. Thomson, M. Hoshen, Keenlyside, Noel S., Terres, J.-M., Keenlyside, N, Morse, A. P., Diez, E, Maisonnave, E., Guérémy, Jean-François, Doblas-Reyes, F., Palmer, T. N., Graham, R   +104 more
core   +1 more source

Interpretation of the statistical/dynamical prediction for seasonal tropical storm frequency in the western North Pacific

Environmental Research Letters, 2020
Despite the improving techniques for seasonal prediction of tropical storm frequency, attention seems focused on accuracy rather than on forecast interpretation. This study aims to show how seasonal predictions from a hybrid model, i.e.
Namyoung Kang, James B Elsner
doaj   +1 more source

Model evaluation for seasonal forecasting over southern Africa [PDF]

, 2011
Includes bibliographical references.This study contributes to a broader effort of institutions toward improving seasonal forecasts over southern Africa.
Browne, Nana Ama Kum
core   +1 more source

Four time series prediction models for incidence prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease: a comparative study

Zhongguo gonggong weisheng, 2022
ObjectiveTo compare the performance of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, Winter linear and seasonal exponential smoothing model, Census X12 seasonal decomposition model, and linear combination prediction model in incidence
Chao LIU, Yuan-yuan MENG, Qing-wen ZHANG
doaj   +1 more source

A simple statistical technique to improve seasonal predictions of northeast monsoon rainfall over India using selective ensemble mean

Scientific Reports
The predictability of northeast monsoon rainfall (NEMR) has been poorly studied. It is noted that the September-initialized multi-model ensemble (MME) of seasonal forecast systems shows modest skill in predicting NEMR over the southern peninsula of India
Jayanthi V. Ratnam, Swadhin K. Behera, Masami Nonaka, Takeshi Doi   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source