Results 11 to 20 of about 327,440 (196)

GEOS-S2S Version 2: The GMAO High Resolution Coupled Model and Assimilation System for Seasonal Prediction. [PDF]

J Geophys Res Atmos, 2020
Molod A, Hackert E, Vikhliaev Y, Zhao B, Barahona D, Vernieres G, Borovikov A, Kovach RM, Marshak J, Schubert S, Li Z, Lim YK, Andrews LC, Cullather R, Koster R, Achuthavarier D, Carton J, Coy L, Freire JLM, Longo KM, Nakada K, Pawson S.   +21 more
europepmc   +2 more sources

Editorial: Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Predictability and Prediction of Monsoon Climates [PDF]

Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2018
International ...
Vincent Moron, Vincent Moron, Andrew W. Robertson, Frédéric Vitart   +3 more
openaire   +5 more sources

Combining Dynamical and Statistical Modeling to Improve the Prediction of Surface Air Temperatures 2 Months in Advance: A Hybrid Approach

Frontiers in Climate, 2022
A new type of hybrid prediction system (HPS) of the land surface air temperature (SAT) is described and its skill evaluated for one particular application.
Pascal Oettli, Masami Nonaka, Ingo Richter, Hiroyuki Koshiba, Yosuke Tokiya, Itsumi Hoshino, Swadhin K. Behera   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Interpretation of the statistical/dynamical prediction for seasonal tropical storm frequency in the western North Pacific

Environmental Research Letters, 2020
Despite the improving techniques for seasonal prediction of tropical storm frequency, attention seems focused on accuracy rather than on forecast interpretation. This study aims to show how seasonal predictions from a hybrid model, i.e.
Namyoung Kang, James B Elsner
doaj   +1 more source

A New Operational Seasonal Thermal Stress Prediction Tool for Coral Reefs Around Australia

Frontiers in Marine Science, 2021
Seasonal forecasts of sea surface temperature (SST) have become increasingly important tools in recent years for reef managers to help inform and coordinate management responses to mass coral bleaching events.
Claire M. Spillman, Grant A. Smith
doaj   +1 more source

Skillful Seasonal Prediction of Typhoon Track Density Using Deep Learning

Remote Sensing, 2023
Tropical cyclones (TCs) seriously threaten the safety of human life and property especially when approaching a coast or making landfall. Robust, long-lead predictions are valuable for managing policy responses.
Zhihao Feng, Shuo Lv, Yuan Sun, Xiangbo Feng, Panmao Zhai, Yanluan Lin, Yixuan Shen, Wei Zhong   +7 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal Predictability of the East Atlantic Pattern in Late Autumn and Early Winter

Geophysical Research Letters, 2023
The North Atlantic Oscillation (“NAO”) and the East Atlantic Pattern (“EAP”) dominate winter atmospheric variability over the North Atlantic. Unlike the NAO, seasonal predictability of the EAP has remained elusive.
H. E. Thornton, D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, N. J. Dunstone   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Potential of Equatorial Atlantic Variability to Enhance El Nino Prediction [PDF]

, 2013
Extraordinarily strong El Niño events, such as those of 1982/83 and 1997/98, have been poorly predicted by operational seasonal forecasts made before boreal spring, despite significant advances in understanding, improved models, and enhanced ...
Barnston, Burgers, Chang, Ding, Ding, Frauen, Ham, Hui Ding, Izumo, Jansen, Jin, Jin, Jungclaus, Kalnay, Keenlyside, Keenlyside, Krishna Kumar, Kushnir, Luo, Luo, Lübbecke, M. Latif, Marsland, Meinen, N. S. Keenlyside, Neelin, Rayner, Richter, Rodriguez-Fonseca, Smith, Stockdale, Terray, Vimont, Wahl, Wang, Wright, Zebiak, Zebiak   +37 more
core   +1 more source

Predictability of Seasonal Atmospheric Variations

Journal of Climate, 1994
Results from a set of 120-day ensemble integrations of a T63L19 version of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model are described. The integrations, started from observed initial conditions, used observed global sea surface temperature (SST) as a lower boundary condition.
Brankovic, C, Palmer, T, Ferranti, L
openaire   +4 more sources

Seasonal prediction of Euro-Atlantic teleconnections from multiple systems

Environmental Research Letters, 2020
Seasonal mean atmospheric circulation in Europe can vary substantially from year to year. This diversity of conditions impacts many socioeconomic sectors.
Llorenç Lledó, Irene Cionni, Verónica Torralba, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Margarida Samsó   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source