Results 1 to 10 of about 327,440 (196)

Global seasonal prediction of fire danger. [PDF]

Sci Data
AbstractThe European Centre for Medium range weather forecast (ECMWF) on behalf of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) has recently widened the fire danger data offering in the Climate Data Store (CDS) to include a set of fire danger forecasts with lead times up to 7 months.
Di Giuseppe F, Vitolo C, Barnard C, Libertá G, Maciel P, San-Miguel-Ayanz J, Villaume S, Wetterhall F.   +7 more
europepmc   +4 more sources

Predicting Unobserved Exposures from Seasonal Epidemic Data [PDF]

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 2013
24 pages, 6 figures; Final version in Bulletin of Mathematical ...
Forgoston, Eric, Schwartz, Ira B.
openaire   +6 more sources

On the seasonal prediction and predictability of winter surface Temperature Swing Index over North America

Frontiers in Climate, 2022
The rapid day-to-day temperature swings associated with extratropical storm tracks can cause cascading infrastructure failure and impact human outdoor activities, thus research on seasonal prediction and predictability of extreme temperature swings is of
Xiaosong Yang, Thomas L. Delworth, Liwei Jia, Liwei Jia, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Feiyu Lu, Colleen McHugh   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Short-Term Climate Prediction System FIO-CPS v2.0 and its Prediction Skill in ENSO

Frontiers in Earth Science, 2021
The climate model is an important tool for simulating and predicting the mean state and variability of the climate system. The First Institute of Oceanography-Climate Prediction System (FIO-CPS), built on a climate model with the oceanic observation ...
Yajuan Song, Yajuan Song, Yajuan Song, Qi Shu, Qi Shu, Qi Shu, Ying Bao, Ying Bao, Ying Bao, Xiaodan Yang, Xiaodan Yang, Xiaodan Yang, Zhenya Song, Zhenya Song, Zhenya Song   +14 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal prediction of European summer heatwaves [PDF]

Climate Dynamics, 2021
AbstractUnder the influence of global warming, heatwaves are becoming a major threat in many parts of the world, affecting human health and mortality, food security, forest fires, biodiversity, energy consumption, as well as the production and transportation networks.
Chloé Prodhomme, Stefano Materia, Constantin Ardilouze, Rachel H. White, Lauriane Batté, Virginie Guemas, Georgios Fragkoulidis, Javier Garcia Serrano   +7 more
openaire   +5 more sources

Impact of the Ensemble Kalman Filter Based Coupled Data Assimilation System on Seasonal Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

Geophysical Research Letters, 2022
The sensitivity of seasonal prediction (June to September) of Indian monsoon to initial state from two variants of coupled data assimilation (CDA) products, viz.
Sagar V. Gade, Pentakota Sreenivas, Suryachandra A. Rao, Ankur Srivastava, Maheswar Pradhan   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluation of Dynamical Seasonal Prediction Skills for Tropical Cyclone Activity over the South China Sea in FGOALS-f2

Atmosphere, 2022
Based on 35-year (1981–2015) ensemble (24 members) hindcasts of the IAP/LASG global seasonal prediction system named FGOALS-f2 V1.0 (FGOALS-f2), the tropical cyclone (TC) seasonal prediction skills over the South China Sea (SCS) during the TC peak season
Jinxiao Li, Qun Tian, Zili Shen, Zixiang Yan, Majun Li, Jiaqing Xue, Yaoxian Yang, Lingjun Zeng, Yuxin Zang, Siyuan Li   +9 more
doaj   +1 more source

Advances in Seasonal Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice With NOAA UFS

Geophysical Research Letters, 2023
The Unified Forecast System (UFS) is the next generation modeling infrastructure under development for NOAA's operational numerical weather/climate predictions. This study is the first attempt with UFS for seasonal predictions application. In particular,
Jieshun Zhu, Wanqiu Wang, Yanyun Liu, Arun Kumar, David DeWitt   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

A novel statistical approach to predict seasonal high tide flooding

Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022
Sea level rise is increasing the frequency of high tide flooding in coastal communities across the United States. Although the occurrence and severity of high-tide flooding will continue to increase, skillful prediction of high tide flooding on monthly ...
Gregory Dusek, William V. Sweet, Matthew J. Widlansky, Philip R. Thompson, Philip R. Thompson, John J. Marra   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Dynamical Seasonal Prediction

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2000
Dynamical Seasonal Prediction (DSP) is an informally coordinated multi-institution research project to investigate the predictability of seasonal mean atmospheric circulation and rainfall. The basic idea is to test the feasibility of extending the technology of routine numerical weather prediction beyond the inherent limit of deterministic ...
Shukla, J, Anderson, J, Baumhefner, D, Brankovic, C, Chang, Y, Kalnay, E, Marx, L, Palmer, T, Paolino, D, Ploshay, J, Schubert, S, Straus, D, Suarez, M, Tribbia, J   +13 more
openaire   +4 more sources