Results 1 to 10 of about 52,588 (257)

Seasonal prediction of the boreal winter stratosphere. [PDF]

Clim Dyn, 2022
AbstractThe predictability of the Northern Hemisphere stratosphere and its underlying dynamics are investigated in five state-of-the-art seasonal prediction systems from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) multi-model database. Special attention is devoted to the connection between the stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) and lower-stratosphere ...
Portal A, Ruggieri P, Palmeiro FM, García-Serrano J, Domeisen DIV, Gualdi S.   +5 more
europepmc   +9 more sources

Global seasonal prediction of fire danger. [PDF]

Sci Data
AbstractThe European Centre for Medium range weather forecast (ECMWF) on behalf of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) has recently widened the fire danger data offering in the Climate Data Store (CDS) to include a set of fire danger forecasts with lead times up to 7 months.
Di Giuseppe F, Vitolo C, Barnard C, Libertá G, Maciel P, San-Miguel-Ayanz J, Villaume S, Wetterhall F.   +7 more
europepmc   +4 more sources

Skillful Seasonal Prediction of Typhoon Track Density Using Deep Learning

Remote Sensing, 2023
Tropical cyclones (TCs) seriously threaten the safety of human life and property especially when approaching a coast or making landfall. Robust, long-lead predictions are valuable for managing policy responses.
Zhihao Feng, Shuo Lv, Yuan Sun, Panmao Zhai, Yanluan Lin, Yixuan Shen, Wei Zhong   +6 more
doaj   +3 more sources

Seasonal Prediction Potential for Springtime Dustiness in the United States

Geophysical Research Letters, 2019
Most dust forecast models focus on short, subseasonal lead times, that is, 3 to 6 days, and the skill of seasonal prediction is not clear. In this study we examine the potential of seasonal dust prediction in the United States using an observation ...
Bing Pu, Paul Ginoux, Sarah B. Kapnick, Xiaosong Yang   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Improving Seasonal Prediction of East Asian Summer Rainfall Using NESM3.0: Preliminary Results

Atmosphere, 2018
It has been an outstanding challenge for global climate models to simulate and predict East Asia summer monsoon (EASM) rainfall. This study evaluated the dynamical hindcast skills with the newly developed Nanjing University of Information Science and ...
Young-Min Yang, Bin Wang, Juan Li
doaj   +3 more sources

A New Operational Seasonal Thermal Stress Prediction Tool for Coral Reefs Around Australia

Frontiers in Marine Science, 2021
Seasonal forecasts of sea surface temperature (SST) have become increasingly important tools in recent years for reef managers to help inform and coordinate management responses to mass coral bleaching events.
Claire M. Spillman, Grant A. Smith
doaj   +4 more sources

Skilful Seasonal Prediction of Ocean Surface Waves in the Atlantic Ocean

Geophysical Research Letters, 2019
Ocean surface wave height in the Atlantic Ocean is strongly influenced by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here we demonstrate for the first time a skilful seasonal forecast for wave height in the Atlantic Ocean, produced by a seasonal prediction ...
Mikhail Dobrynin, Tobias Kleine, André Düsterhus, Johanna Baehr   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

On the seasonal prediction and predictability of winter surface Temperature Swing Index over North America

Frontiers in Climate, 2022
The rapid day-to-day temperature swings associated with extratropical storm tracks can cause cascading infrastructure failure and impact human outdoor activities, thus research on seasonal prediction and predictability of extreme temperature swings is of
Xiaosong Yang, Thomas L. Delworth, Liwei Jia, Liwei Jia, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Feiyu Lu, Colleen McHugh   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal Prediction of Atmospheric Rivers in the Western North Pacific Using a Seasonal Prediction Model

Atmospheric Science Letters
Seasonal prediction of atmospheric rivers (ARs) in the western north Pacific (WNP) is examined using a seasonal prediction model with and without atmospheric initialisation.
Yuya Baba
doaj   +2 more sources

Editorial: Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Predictability and Prediction of Monsoon Climates [PDF]

Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2018
International ...
Vincent Moron, Vincent Moron, Andrew W. Robertson, Frédéric Vitart   +3 more
openaire   +5 more sources