Results 21 to 30 of about 2,046,347 (299)

Strengthening effect of El Niño on the following spring Indian Ocean warming with implications for the seasonal prediction of the Asian summer monsoons

Environmental Research Communications, 2023
El Niño induces a southwest Indian Ocean (SWIO) warming in decaying springs by forcing the slow-propagating downwelling oceanic Rossby waves south of the equatorial Indian Ocean (IO), which could exert a great influence on the subsequent South and East ...
Zhiyuan Zhang, Gen Li
doaj   +1 more source

The Short-Term Climate Prediction System FIO-CPS v2.0 and its Prediction Skill in ENSO

Frontiers in Earth Science, 2021
The climate model is an important tool for simulating and predicting the mean state and variability of the climate system. The First Institute of Oceanography-Climate Prediction System (FIO-CPS), built on a climate model with the oceanic observation ...
Yajuan Song, Yajuan Song, Yajuan Song, Qi Shu, Qi Shu, Qi Shu, Ying Bao, Ying Bao, Ying Bao, Xiaodan Yang, Xiaodan Yang, Xiaodan Yang, Zhenya Song, Zhenya Song, Zhenya Song   +14 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal prediction of lake inflows and rainfall in a hydro-electricity catchment, Waitaki river, New Zealand [PDF]

, 2010
The Waitaki River is located in the centre of the South Island of New Zealand, and hydro-electricity generated on the river accounts for 35-40% of New Zealand's electricity. Low inflows in 1992 and 2001 resulted in the threat of power blackouts. Improved
Bardsley, W. Earl, Purdie, Jennifer Margaret   +1 more
core   +1 more source

Nonstationarity of the link between the Tropics and the summer East Atlantic pattern

Atmospheric Science Letters, 2021
A 700‐year pre‐industrial control run with the MPI‐ESM‐LR model is used to investigate the link between the summer East Atlantic (SEA) pattern and the Pacific‐Caribbean rainfall dipole (PCD), a link that has previously been shown using ERA‐Interim ...
Ole Rieke, Richard J. Greatbatch, Gereon Gollan   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Dynamically-based seasonal forecasts of Atlantic tropical storm activity issued in June by EUROSIP [PDF]

, 2007
Most seasonal forecasts of Atlantic tropical storm numbers are produced using statistical-empirical models. However, forecasts can also be made using numerical models which encode the laws of physics, here referred to as “dynamical models”.
Huddleston, MR, Deque, M, Peake, D, Palmer, Tim, A. Weisheimer, F. Vitart, M. K. Davey, Davey, MK, Ineson, S, S. Ineson, T. N. Palmer, Weisheimer, Antje, M. R. Huddleston, D. Peake, Palmer, TN, Weisheimer, A, Vitart, F, T. N. Stockdale, Stockdale, TN, M. Déqué   +19 more
core   +1 more source

Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System [PDF]

, 2021
Rainfall bursts are relatively short-lived events that typically occur over consecutive days, up to a week. Northern Australian industries like sugar farming and beef are highly sensitive to burst activity, yet little is known about the multi-week ...
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Narsey, Sugata, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Sharmila, S.   +4 more
core   +1 more source

Predictability of Seasonal Atmospheric Variations

Journal of Climate, 1994
Results from a set of 120-day ensemble integrations of a T63L19 version of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model are described. The integrations, started from observed initial conditions, used observed global sea surface temperature (SST) as a lower boundary condition.
Brankovic, C, Palmer, T, Ferranti, L
openaire   +4 more sources

Evaluation of Dynamical Seasonal Prediction Skills for Tropical Cyclone Activity over the South China Sea in FGOALS-f2

Atmosphere, 2022
Based on 35-year (1981–2015) ensemble (24 members) hindcasts of the IAP/LASG global seasonal prediction system named FGOALS-f2 V1.0 (FGOALS-f2), the tropical cyclone (TC) seasonal prediction skills over the South China Sea (SCS) during the TC peak season
Jinxiao Li, Qun Tian, Zili Shen, Zixiang Yan, Majun Li, Jiaqing Xue, Yaoxian Yang, Lingjun Zeng, Yuxin Zang, Siyuan Li   +9 more
doaj   +1 more source

Impact of the Ensemble Kalman Filter Based Coupled Data Assimilation System on Seasonal Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

Geophysical Research Letters, 2022
The sensitivity of seasonal prediction (June to September) of Indian monsoon to initial state from two variants of coupled data assimilation (CDA) products, viz.
Sagar V. Gade, Pentakota Sreenivas, Suryachandra A. Rao, Ankur Srivastava, Maheswar Pradhan   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

A novel statistical approach to predict seasonal high tide flooding

Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022
Sea level rise is increasing the frequency of high tide flooding in coastal communities across the United States. Although the occurrence and severity of high-tide flooding will continue to increase, skillful prediction of high tide flooding on monthly ...
Gregory Dusek, William V. Sweet, Matthew J. Widlansky, Philip R. Thompson, Philip R. Thompson, John J. Marra   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source