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A Bibliometric Analysis of Research on Stochastic Mortality Modelling and Forecasting
Risks, 2022 Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades, leading to growing interest in understanding mortality risk and longevity risk. Studies of mortality forecasting are of interest among actuaries and demographers because
Norkhairunnisa Redzwan, Rozita Ramli
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Data, 2023 Mortality shocks, such as pandemics, threaten the consolidated longevity improvements, confirmed in the last decades for the majority of western countries.
Maria Francesca Carfora, Albina Orlando
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Bivariate stochastic modeling of functional response with natural mortality [PDF]
, 2010 A correction due to Abbott (1925) is the standard method of dealing with control mortality in insect bioassay to estimate the mortality of an insect conditional on control mortality not having occurred.
Skirvin, David J. +8 more
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Global aging - the nature of longevity risk
Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica, 2016 In this paper we investigate the latest developments on longevity risk modelling. We first introduce longevity risk to allow for a better understanding of the related challenges in term of risk management from both a financial and insurance point of view.
Grażyna Trzpiot
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Projecting Mortality Rates Using a Markov Chain
Mathematics, 2022 We present a mortality model where future stochastic changes in population-wide mortality are driven by a finite-state hierarchical Markov chain. A baseline mortality in an initial ‘Alive’ state is calculated as the average logarithm of the observed ...
Jaap Spreeuw +2 more
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Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models [PDF]
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2008 Abstract This paper develops a framework for developing forecasts of future mortality rates. We discuss the suitability of six stochastic mortality models for forecasting future mortality and estimating the density of mortality rates at different ages.
Andrew J. G. Cairns +5 more
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Spouses’ Dependence across Generations and Pricing Impact on Reversionary Annuities
Risks, 2016 This paper studies the dependence between coupled lives, i.e., the spouses’ dependence, across different generations, and its effects on prices of reversionary annuities in the presence of longevity risk.
Elisa Luciano, Jaap Spreeuw, Elena Vigna
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Debilitation's aftermath: Stochastic process models of mortality [PDF]
Mathematical Population Studies, 1988 A stochastic differential equation model is developed to clarify the interaction of debilitation, recuperation, selection, and aging. The model yields various insights about the lingering mortality consequences of disasters such as wars, famines, and epidemics that may weaken the survivors.
Vaupel, J.W., Yashin, A.I., Manton, K.G.
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Predicting Human Mortality: Quantitative Evaluation of Four Stochastic Models
Risks, 2016 In this paper, we quantitatively compare the forecasts from four different mortality models. We consider one discrete-time model proposed by Lee and Carter (1992) and three continuous-time models: the Wills and Sherris (2011) model, the Feller process ...
Anastasia Novokreshchenova
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Extensions on the Hatzopoulos–Sagianou Multiple-Components Stochastic Mortality Model
Risks, 2022 In this paper, we present extensions of the Hatzopoulos–Sagianou (2020) (HS) multiple-component stochastic mortality model. Our aim is to thoroughly evaluate and stress test the HS model by deploying various link functions, using generalised linear ...
Aliki Sagianou, Peter Hatzopoulos
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