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Stochastic mortality forecasts for Bangladesh. [PDF]
PLoS One, 2022 Mortality forecasts are essential part for policymaking in any aging society. In recent years, methods to model and forecast mortality have improved considerably. Among them, Lee-Carter method is one of the most influential method. In this paper, Lee-Carter method is applied to forecast mortality and life expectancy of Bangladesh.
Fazle Rabbi AM, Khan HTA.
europepmc +3 more sources
Stochastic Mortality Modelling for Dependent Coupled Lives [PDF]
Risks, 2020 Broken-heart syndrome is the most common form of short-term dependence, inducing a temporary increase in an individual’s force of mortality upon the occurrence of extreme events, such as the loss of a spouse. Socioeconomic influences on bereavement
Kira Henshaw +2 more
doaj +3 more sources
Risks, 2023 Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms, that is,
Miguel Santolino
doaj +3 more sources
Is Excess Mortality Returning to Pre-Pandemic Levels? A Multi-Model Stochastic Approach for COVID-19: The Spanish Case [PDF]
EpidemiologiaIntroduction: This study quantifies excess mortality in Spain during and after the COVID-19 pandemic and assesses whether mortality levels are returning to pre-pandemic patterns.
Julio Ibáñez-Soriano +1 more
doaj +2 more sources
Stochastic mortality models: an infinite-dimensional approach [PDF]
Finance and Stochastics, 2013 28 ...
Stefan Tappe, , Tappe Stefan
exaly +3 more sources
Age distribution dynamics with stochastic jumps in mortality [PDF]
Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2017 While deterministic age distribution models have been extensively studied and applied in various disciplines, little work has been devoted to understanding the role of stochasticity in birth and mortality terms. In this paper, we analyse a stochastic M’Kendrick–von Foerster equation in which jumps in mortality represent intense losses of population due
Salvatore Calabrese +2 more
exaly +5 more sources
Simulation and optimal control of stochastic delay differential models for hepatitis C virus epidemics [PDF]
Scientific ReportsThe hepatitis C virus (HCV) is recognized as a significant global public health concern due to its complex transmission dynamics and long-term health consequences.
Nikhil Kumar +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
Risks, 2018 During the last decades, life expectancy has risen significantly in the most developed countries all over the world. Greece is a case in point; consequently, higher governmental financial responsibilities occur as well as serious concerns are raised ...
Apostolos Bozikas, Georgios Pitselis
doaj +3 more sources
Catastrophe risk in a stochastic multi‐population mortality model
Journal of Risk and InsuranceAbstractThis paper incorporates mortality shocks in the scenarios for future mortality rates produced by a stochastic multi‐population mortality model. Hereto, the proposed model combines a decreasing stochastic mortality trend with a mechanism that switches between regimes of low and high volatility.
Jens Robben, Katrien Antonio
exaly +4 more sources
Generalization of stochastic mortality models to improve mortality prediction in life insurance and pension funds [PDF]
تصمیم گیری و تحقیق در عملیات, 2023 Purpose: Mortality is a dynamic process that completes over time and is a fundamental issue in life insurance, pension fund, health insurance, and in general any issue related to financial planning that deals with the longevity of individuals. Therefore,
Shirin Shoaee +1 more
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