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Stochastic mortality forecasts for Bangladesh. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS One, 2022
Mortality forecasts are essential part for policymaking in any aging society. In recent years, methods to model and forecast mortality have improved considerably. Among them, Lee-Carter method is one of the most influential method. In this paper, Lee-Carter method is applied to forecast mortality and life expectancy of Bangladesh.
Fazle Rabbi AM, Khan HTA.
europepmc   +3 more sources

Stochastic Mortality Modelling for Dependent Coupled Lives [PDF]

open access: yesRisks, 2020
Broken-heart syndrome is the most common form of short-term dependence, inducing a temporary increase in an individual’s force of mortality upon the occurrence of extreme events, such as the loss of a spouse. Socioeconomic influences on bereavement
Kira Henshaw   +2 more
doaj   +3 more sources

Should Selection of the Optimum Stochastic Mortality Model Be Based on the Original or the Logarithmic Scale of the Mortality Rate?

open access: yesRisks, 2023
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms, that is,
Miguel Santolino
doaj   +3 more sources

Is Excess Mortality Returning to Pre-Pandemic Levels? A Multi-Model Stochastic Approach for COVID-19: The Spanish Case [PDF]

open access: yesEpidemiologia
Introduction: This study quantifies excess mortality in Spain during and after the COVID-19 pandemic and assesses whether mortality levels are returning to pre-pandemic patterns.
Julio Ibáñez-Soriano   +1 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Stochastic mortality models: an infinite-dimensional approach [PDF]

open access: yesFinance and Stochastics, 2013
28 ...
Stefan Tappe, , Tappe Stefan
exaly   +3 more sources

Age distribution dynamics with stochastic jumps in mortality [PDF]

open access: yesProceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2017
While deterministic age distribution models have been extensively studied and applied in various disciplines, little work has been devoted to understanding the role of stochasticity in birth and mortality terms. In this paper, we analyse a stochastic M’Kendrick–von Foerster equation in which jumps in mortality represent intense losses of population due
Salvatore Calabrese   +2 more
exaly   +5 more sources

Simulation and optimal control of stochastic delay differential models for hepatitis C virus epidemics [PDF]

open access: yesScientific Reports
The hepatitis C virus (HCV) is recognized as a significant global public health concern due to its complex transmission dynamics and long-term health consequences.
Nikhil Kumar   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

An Empirical Study on Stochastic Mortality Modelling under the Age-Period-Cohort Framework: The Case of Greece with Applications to Insurance Pricing

open access: yesRisks, 2018
During the last decades, life expectancy has risen significantly in the most developed countries all over the world. Greece is a case in point; consequently, higher governmental financial responsibilities occur as well as serious concerns are raised ...
Apostolos Bozikas, Georgios Pitselis
doaj   +3 more sources

Catastrophe risk in a stochastic multi‐population mortality model

open access: yesJournal of Risk and Insurance
AbstractThis paper incorporates mortality shocks in the scenarios for future mortality rates produced by a stochastic multi‐population mortality model. Hereto, the proposed model combines a decreasing stochastic mortality trend with a mechanism that switches between regimes of low and high volatility.
Jens Robben, Katrien Antonio
exaly   +4 more sources

Generalization of stochastic mortality models to improve mortality prediction in life insurance and pension funds [PDF]

open access: yesتصمیم گیری و تحقیق در عملیات, 2023
Purpose: Mortality is a dynamic process that completes over time and is a fundamental issue in life insurance, pension fund, health insurance, and in general any issue related to financial planning that deals with the longevity of individuals. Therefore,
Shirin Shoaee   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

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