Results 81 to 90 of about 893,168 (289)
Estimating Subjective Probabilities [PDF]
, 2013 Subjective probabilities play a central role in many economic decisions, and act as an immediate confound of inferences about behavior, unless controlled for.
Andersen, Steffen +3 more
core
How Video‐Based Information Affects Farmers' Willingness to Pay for Drone Services
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Professional service for digital technology like agricultural drones lowers transaction costs and scope thresholds for smallholders. Meanwhile, perceptual adoption barriers remain underexplored. We conduct a two‐stage choice experiment with a randomized video‐based information treatment among 384 Chinese crop farmers to measure its effect on ...
Hua Zhang +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Updating Non-Additive Probabilities -- A Geometric Approach [PDF]
A geometric approach, analogous to the approach used in the additive case, is proposed to determine the conditional expectation with non- additive probabilities.
Ehud Lehrer
core
Asking for frequencies rather than percentages increases the validity of subjective probability measures: Evidence from subjective life expectancy [PDF]
, 2019 Survey measures of subjective expectations manifest anomalies in how people report percentages. The current research finds that frequency-based measures deliver more valid subjective probabilities of living to a given age than do questions that elicit a ...
Comerford, David A.
core +1 more source
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Growing demand for healthier beverages is driving innovation in the wine sector, with dealcoholized wine emerging as a promising alternative. However, little is known about the contextual conditions under which consumers would choose dealcoholized wine, particularly in countries with strong wine traditions. To fill this gap, this work examines
Giovanna Piracci +4 more
wiley +1 more source
A Definition of Subjective Probability [PDF]
The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1963 Anscombe, F. J., Aumann, R. J.
openaire +3 more sources
Stochastic Mortality, Subjective Survival Expectations, and Individual Saving Behavior [PDF]
Theoretical studies suggest that unexpected changes in future mortality and survival probabilities (stochastic mortality) are important determinants of individuals’ decisions about consumption, saving, asset allocation, and retirement timing.
Katja Hanewald, Thomas Post
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Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We conducted two framed field economic experiments with citrus farmers in Florida, United States and soybean farmers in Argentina to investigate their willingness to coordinate pest and weed management efforts. Despite the contrast between these two agricultural contexts, we find striking behavioral commonalities.
Ariel Singerman, Sergio H. Lence
wiley +1 more source
AGING MEDICINE, EarlyView.Blood‐based biomarkers are emerging as accessible tools for Alzheimer's disease screening, diagnosis, risk stratification, and longitudinal monitoring. This review summarizes major biomarkers, including Aβ42/Aβ40, phosphorylated tau species, NfL, GFAP, genetic risk markers, and exploratory inflammatory, synaptic, and proteomic candidates.
Shuangshuang Li, Lin Huang, Qihao Guo
wiley +1 more source
Objective Bayesianism and the Maximum Entropy Principle
Entropy, 2013 Objective Bayesian epistemology invokes three norms: the strengths of our beliefs should be probabilities; they should be calibrated to our evidence of physical probabilities; and they should otherwise equivocate sufficiently between the basic ...
Jon Williamson, Jürgen Landes
doaj +1 more source