The Q-Exponential Decay of Subjective Probability for Future Reward: A Psychophysical Time Approach
Entropy, 2014 This study experimentally examined why subjective probability for delayed reward decays non-exponentially (“hyperbolically”, i.e., q ˂ 1 in the q-exponential discount function) in humans.
Taiki Takahashi +3 more
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Relationship between Future Time Orientation and Item Nonresponse on Subjective Probability Questions: A Cross-Cultural Analysis. [PDF]
J Cross Cult Psychol, 2017 Lee S, Liu M, Hu M.
europepmc +2 more sources
The role of ANS acuity and numeracy for the calibration and the coherence of subjective probability judgments. [PDF]
Front Psychol, 2014 The purpose of the study was to investigate how numeracy and acuity of the approximate number system (ANS) relate to the calibration and coherence of probability judgments.
Winman A +4 more
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Subjective Probability Correction for Uncertainty Representations
International Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, 2023 We propose a new approach to uncertainty communication: we keep the uncertainty representation fixed, but adjust the distribution displayed to compensate for biases in people’s subjective probability in decision-making.
Fumeng Yang, Maryam Hedayati, M. Kay
semanticscholar +1 more source
Subjective confidence reflects representation of Bayesian probability in cortex
bioRxiv, 2021 What gives rise to the human sense of confidence? Here we tested the Bayesian hypothesis that confidence is based on a probability distribution represented in neural population activity.
Laura S. Geurts +3 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
An empirical investigation into the role of subjective prior probability in searching for potentially missing items [PDF]
Royal Society Open Science, 2015 There are many examples from the scientific literature of visual search tasks in which the length, scope and success rate of the search have been shown to vary according to the searcher's expectations of whether the search target is likely to be present.
T. R. Fanshawe
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Measurement: Sensors, 2022 The process of revising the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM) is ongoing. A successful revision must be theoretically sound, so it must be based on a recognized paradigm for scientific data analysis.
R. Willink
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An Essay on the Double Nature of the Probability [PDF]
, 2012 Classical statistics and Bayesian statistics refer to the frequentist and subjective theories of probability respectively. Von Mises and De Finetti, who authored those conceptualizations, provide interpretations of the probability that appear ...
Gianfagna, Leonida, Rocchi, Paolo
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Teaching statistics in the physics curriculum: Unifying and clarifying role of subjective probability [PDF]
, 1999 Subjective probability is based on the intuitive idea that probability quantifies the degree of belief that an event will occur. A probability theory based on this idea represents the most general framework for handling uncertainty.
D'Agostini, G.
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On Some Applications of the Vougiouklis Hyperstructures to Probability Theory
Ratio Mathematica, 2017 Some important concepts about algebraic hyperstructures, especially from a geometric point of view, are recalled. Many applications of the Hv structures, introduced by Vougiouklis in 1990, to the de Finetti subjective probability theory are considered ...
Antonio Maturo, Fabrizio Maturo
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