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Multiple perspectives on the concept of conditional probability
Avances de Investigación en Educación Matemática, 2012 Conditional probability is a key to the subjectivist theory of probability; however, it plays a subsidiary role in the usual conception of probability where its counterpart, namely independence is of basic importance.
Manfred Borovcnik
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About Subjective Probability [PDF]
, 2023 The main purpose of this note is to study Anscombe and Aumann’s [1963] definition of subjective probability and their contributions to decision theory. We emphasize their main ideas, and we revise the framework that they proposed and which became one of ...
Vergopoulos, Vassili +1 more
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Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Objective Early risk stratification may support clinical decision‐making in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We aimed to develop and internally validate HAGIV, a score integrating frequency of imaging markers (FIM), a time‐adjusted non‐contrast computed tomography (CT) metric of hematoma expansion, with established predictors for 90‐
Lei Song +10 more
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Bayesian combination of correlated subjective probability estimates
Judgment and Decision MakingThe combination of human forecasters’ subjective probability estimates usually improves upon the estimates provided by individual forecasters. In order to combine the probability estimates in a Bayes optimal way, prior work proposed a normative Bayesian ...
Susanne Trick +2 more
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O excesso de confiança dos produtores de milho no Brasil e o uso de contratos futuros
Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural, 2011 O objetivo deste artigo foi identificar sinais de excesso de confiança nos preços entre produtores de milho do Sul e do Centro-Oeste do Brasil. Entre outubro e novembro de 2008, 90 produtores foram selecionados para responderem questões relacionadas a ...
José César Cruz Júnior +4 more
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Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Objective Building on our prior Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System analysis identifying adults aged 18–39 as the primary driver of the national increase in self‐reported cognitive disability, we examined factors associated with this rise using 2013–2024 U.S. BRFSS data. Methods We analyzed U.S.
Adam de Havenon +9 more
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THE SUBJECTIVE MEASUREMENT OF PROBABILITY1
Informatika, 2018 The article offers the method of subjective measurement of probability. For this purpose the concept of quantity which changes evenly from object to object is defined.
V. M. Romanchak
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A model-based approach for the analysis of the calibration of probability judgments
Judgment and Decision Making, 2011 The calibration of probability or confidence judgments concerns the association between the judgments and some estimate of the correct probabilities of events.
David V. Budescu +3 more
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What triggers causal attributions? The impact of valence and subjective probability [PDF]
, 1988 Bohner G, Bless H, Schwarz N, Strack F. What triggers causal attributions? The impact of valence and subjective probability. European Journal of Social Psychology.
Strack, Fritz +3 more
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Deep Learning Pose Estimation for Phenotyping of Co‐Occurring Hyperkinetic Movement Disorders
Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Objective To explore whether routine outpatient video combined with deep learning‐based pose estimation and clinically interpretable kinematic features can support multi‐label phenotyping of co‐occurring hyperkinetic movement disorders (HMDs).
Laura Cif +17 more
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