Results 21 to 30 of about 1,871,243 (292)

The Role of the Subjectivist Position in the Probabilization of Forensic Science

open access: yesJournal of Forensic Science and Medicine, 2015
This paper is concerned with the contribution of forensic science to the legal process by helping reduce uncertainty. Although it is now widely accepted that uncertainty should be handled by probability because it is a safeguard against incoherent ...
Alex Biedermann
doaj   +1 more source

How Does Explanatory Virtue Determine Probability Estimation?—Empirical Discussion on Effect of Instruction

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2020
It is important to reveal how humans evaluate an explanation of the recent development of explainable artificial intelligence. So, what makes people feel that one explanation is more likely than another?
Asaya Shimojo   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Accuracy of Producers' Probability Beliefs: Evidence and Implications for Insurance Valuation

open access: yesJournal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2002
The accuracy of producers' subjective probability beliefs is examined through a survey of large cash-grain farmers in Illinois. Findings reveal that their subjective probability beliefs about important weather variables are systematically mis-calibrated.
Bruce J. Sherrick
doaj   +1 more source

On the logical bases and gnosiological importance of the statistical method

open access: yesStatistica, 2015
The Author deals with a number of arguments inherent statistical inference and probability as the frequency limit by von Mises, the correlation between probability and chance, the concepts of casualty and causality, the inversion of Bernoulli’s theorem ...
Corrado Gini
doaj   +1 more source

Experimental Investigation on the Elicitation of Subjective Distributions

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2019
Elicitation methods aim to build participants' distributions about a parameter of interest. In most elicitation studies this parameter is rarely known in advance and hinders an objective comparison between elicitation methods.
Carlos J. Barrera-Causil   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling Dynamic Risk Perception Using Large Language Model (LLM) Agents

open access: yesAI
Background: Understanding how accident risk escalates during unfolding industrial events is essential for developing intelligent safety systems. This study proposes a large language model (LLM)-based framework that simulates human-like risk reasoning ...
He Wen, Mojtaba Parsaee, Zaman Sajid
doaj   +1 more source

Optimal Reinsurance with Heterogeneous Reference Probabilities

open access: yesRisks, 2016
This paper studies the problem of optimal reinsurance contract design. We let the insurer use dual utility, and the premium is an extended Wang’s premium principle.
Tim J. Boonen
doaj   +1 more source

The Subjective Probability of Conditionals and Its Formalizations

open access: yesStudia Semiotyczne, 2023
DOI: https://doi.org/10.26333/sts.xxxvii1.04 The aim of the paper is to discuss the problem of the assignment of the degree of belief to conditional sentences by a rational agent.
Anna Wójtowicz, Krzysztof Wójtowicz
doaj  

Modelling stem cell differentiation related processes—A practical overview for biologists

open access: yesFEBS Letters, EarlyView.
Stem cell differentiation is complex and difficult to control experimentally. This review introduces suitable computational modelling approaches that can support stem cell research, from mechanistic ODE and abstract models to multiscale and deep learning methods.
Ricco Zeegelaar   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Circulating microRNA signatures of cachexia and cancer in Canis familiaris as a comparative oncology model for human disease

open access: yesMolecular Oncology, EarlyView.
Circulating microRNAs as biomarkers of cachexia and sex‐specific cancer in senior dogs. In 25 client‐owned dogs, four circulating miRNAs (miR‐15a, miR‐15b, miR‐16, miR‐140) were downregulated in cachexia, with miR‐16 the strongest individual biomarker (AUC = 0.899).
Soon‐Seok Park   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

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