Results 61 to 70 of about 1,935,344 (292)
A COMPARISON OF SUBJECTIVE AND HISTORICAL CROP YIELD PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS [PDF]
Forecast distributions based on historical yields and subjective expectations for 1987 expected crop yields were compared for 90 Western Kentucky grain farms. Different subjective probability elicitation techniques were also compared.
Pease, James W.
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Ethical Precision in Nanoscale Brain Interfacing
Advanced Science, EarlyView.As brain interfaces approach the nanoscale, precision no longer only measures—it knows, predicts, and potentially reshapes the mind. This work argues that traditional ethics fails under such conditions and proposes a shift toward continuous, operation‐based governance using the recovery–discovery framework to track, constrain, and responsibly steer ...
Guilherme Wood
wiley +1 more source
The Psychology of Uncertainty and Three-Valued Truth Tables
Frontiers in Psychology, 2018 Psychological research on people's understanding of natural language connectives has traditionally used truth table tasks, in which participants evaluate the truth or falsity of a compound sentence given the truth or falsity of its components in the ...
Jean Baratgin +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Estimating Subjective Probabilities [PDF]
Subjective probabilities play a role in many economic decisions. There is a large theoretical literature on the elicitation of subjective probabilities, and an equally large empirical literature. However, there is a gulf between the two.
E. Elisabet Rutström +3 more
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Advanced Science, EarlyView.Autonomous laboratories can now synthesize materials faster than experts can interpret the resulting diffraction data. A probabilistic framework combines refinement‐fit metrics with large language model‐derived chemical reasoning to rank competing phase interpretations and flag those unsuitable for autonomous use.
Olympia Dartsi +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Frontiers in Neuroscience, 2012 In decision from experience, the source of probability information affects how probability is distorted in the decision task. Understanding how and why probability is distorted is a key issue in understanding the peculiar character of experience-based ...
Hang eZhang, Laurence T. Maloney
doaj +1 more source
Shape Persistence in Elicited Subjective Crop Yield Probability Density Functions [PDF]
The shape persistence of a crop yield probability density function (PDF) was studied by using two variants of the Visual Impact Method (VIM) to elicit subjective estimations by farmers.
Clop-Gallart, M. Merce +1 more
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Perceived Time Shapes Physical Fatigue Accumulation and Its Neural Oscillatory Correlates
Advanced Science, EarlyView.Can a clock change the course of physical fatigue? By covertly manipulating the clock calibration during repeated isometric contractions, we showed that perceived time shapes fatigue accumulation and frontal oscillatory dynamics. While fatigue accumulation was only reduced when the clock was slowed down, frontal oscillatory dynamics followed perceived ...
Pierre‐Marie Matta +3 more
wiley +1 more source
I develop awareness-dependent subjective expected utility by taking unawareness structures introduced in Heifetz, Meier, and Schipper (2006, 2008, 2009) as primitives in the Anscombe-Aumann approach to subjective expected utility.
Burkhard Schipper
core +2 more sources
Subjective probability is modulated by emotions
, 2023 This project investigates the modulating role of emotions, particularly the little-understood emotion dimension dominance, in subjective probability ...
Lara Abel
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