Thermodynamic and microphysical properties of summertime marine fog observed from Sable Island
Atmospheric profiling and near‐surface fog and visibility measurements revealed synoptic‐scale forcing as the dominant factor in fog formation over Sable Island, with deep fog layers under low‐pressure systems and shallow fog layers under high‐pressure systems.
Kelsey Rowe +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Enhanced forecasting of bird nocturnal migration intensity in relation to previous days and synoptic weather patterns. [PDF]
Roy A +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley +1 more source
Amplified wintertime Arctic warming causes Eurasian cooling via nonlinear feedback of suppressed synoptic eddy activities. [PDF]
Yin M +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
The predictability of western and eastern North Pacific blocking events is assessed using analogue‐based diagnostics. Eastern blocks exhibit lower predictability, characterized by faster error growth and higher mean logarithmic divergence rates. The study highlights geographical contrasts in blocking stability.
Anupama K. Xavier +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Machine learning shows a limit to rain-snow partitioning accuracy when using near-surface meteorology. [PDF]
Jennings KS +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
Key Findings: An assimilation methodology is established for the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder (TMS) flying on CubeSats in sun‐synchronous and inclined orbits, and in all cloud scenes. The TMS has a significant impact on weather forecast lead times up to 3 days in the Tropics in a research‐quality numerical weather prediction setting, and yields water ...
Jonathan J. Guerrette +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Snow cover mapping with Meteosat third generation FCI: initial evaluation of the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites H SAF H43 snow mask product. [PDF]
Kuter S +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Forecast verification using information and noise
Verification of weather forecasts is usually expressed in terms of total error metrics. This is useful for end users of the forecasts but does not allow evaluation of the intrinsic information content of the forecasts. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new total error decomposition into information and noise error measures, connect it to ...
Massimo Bonavita, Alan J. Geer
wiley +1 more source

