Results 51 to 60 of about 5,593 (268)

Subseasonal Predictability of Weekly Rainfall and Rainy Season Onset Over East Africa

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the subseasonal predictability of weekly rainfall and rainy season onset over East Africa using the ECMWF extended range forecast model. Results show strong skill in forecasting weekly rainfall up to 4 weeks ahead, with higher accuracy during the March–May ‘long rains’ season.
Emmah Mwangi   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Integrated forecasting of monthly runoff considering the combined effects of teleconnection factors

open access: yesJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Study region: The Danjiangkou Reservoir, China Study focus: Teleconnection factors significantly influence long-term runoff forecasting. Existing methods primarily focus on the overall impact of these factors on runoff, often neglecting the consideration
Jianbo Chang   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tracking Summer Greenland Blocking: The Upstream Pathway Shapes Historical Extremes and Future Change

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study investigates summer Greenland atmospheric blocking using the Lagrangian tracking Python package blocktrack applied to ERA5 reanalysis and CMIP6 models. Two types of blocks—upstream (Northern Canada origin) and retrograding (Northern Atlantic origin)—are distinguished, with upstream blocks driving recent observed frequency increasing trends ...
Michele Filippucci   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

What does the APO mean?

open access: yesTellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2016
The Asian–Pacific Oscillation (APO) is a relatively new teleconnection index and a number of peer-reviewed studies have confirmed its’ existence. This study reexamines the concept of the APO teleconnection as currently published in the literature.
Yafei Wang, Anthony R. Lupo
doaj   +1 more source

Climate-informed monthly runoff prediction model using machine learning and feature importance analysis

open access: yesFrontiers in Environmental Science, 2022
Accurate runoff prediction can provide a reliable decision-making basis for flood and drought disaster prevention and scientific allocation of water resources.
Lei Yan   +10 more
doaj   +1 more source

Chapter 20. Future Changes of the ENSO-Indian Summer Monsoon Teleconnection

open access: yes, 2021
Coupled ocean-atmosphere teleconnections are characteristics of internal variability which have a forced response just like mean states. It is not trivial how to correctly and optimally estimate the forced response and changes of the El Niño-Southern ...
Tamas, Bodai, JYL
core   +1 more source

Assessing the chance of unprecedented dry conditions over North Brazil during El Niño events

open access: yesEnvironmental Research Letters, 2022
The strongest El Niño events of the past four decades were associated with large rainfall deficits in North Brazil during the December to February mature phase, leading to substantial societal and ecological impacts and influencing the global carbon ...
G Kay   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

An opportunity index to anticipate when subseasonal predictions are useful

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Simultaneously active subseasonal windows of forecast opportunity can be combined into a single opportunity index, which can be used operationally to anticipate enhanced or reduced subseasonal prediction skill. For predictions of temperature anomalies in Switzerland during summer—a region and season with particularly low predictability—skill can nearly
Dominik Büeler   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

A review of Northern Hemisphere winter-time teleconnection patterns

open access: yes, 2002
This chapter reviews the major teleconnection patterns that occur in the boreal winter season. The history of teleconnection research is first reviewed emphasising the pioneering work of Sir Gilbert Walker.
M. Shahgedanova   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Tropical Teleconnections

open access: yesEos, 2017
A recent article in Reviews of Geophysics explored how regional climate and weather is interconnected across space and time.
openaire   +1 more source

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