Results 151 to 160 of about 57,002 (295)

The non‐hydrostatic option of the ECMWF global weather forecast model: Improvements for kilometre‐scale modelling

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study presents improvements to the non‐hydrostatic version of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), enabling stable global simulations at 1.4‐km resolution. A systematic comparison with the hydrostatic version at resolutions from 9 to 1.4 km shows that non‐hydrostatic effects emerge in ...
Jozef Vivoda, Inna Polichtchouk, Michail Diamantakis, Filip Váňa   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assimilation of machine‐learning‐predicted nitrate to improve the quality of phytoplankton forecasting in the shelf‐sea environment

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This article demonstrates that assimilating machine‐learning‐derived surface nitrate can improve five‐day phytoplankton forecast substantially within the Met Office operational system for the Northwest European Shelf. We explain the reasons behind this improvement and propose that an online system where machine learning and data assimilation are cycled
Deep S. Banerjee, Jozef Skákala, David Ford   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

On the Mechanical Efficiency of Deep, Tropical Convection

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2003
Abstract A heuristic model of deep, tropical convection duplicates many of the results obtained by Pauluis and Held from studies of a numerical model of a tropical convective ensemble, and offers insights into and explicit parametric relationships for the reversible and irreversible terms.
openaire   +1 more source

Polar‐low track prediction using machine‐learning methods

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Machine‐learning models are developed to produce reliable and efficient forecasts of polar‐low (PL) trajectories 12 hours ahead. A temporal model (RLSTM) benefiting from the rolling‐forecast strategy, improves overall prediction accuracy and is suitable for quick experimentation, while a spatiotemporal model (PL‐UNet), incorporating both historical and
Ziying Yang, Rune Grand Graversen, Filippo Maria Bianchi, Jiping Liu, Ruibo Lei   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

How consistently do ensemble prediction systems represent the growth of atmospheric uncertainty?

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Spread‐based diagnostics calculated for 12 ensemble prediction systems are compared to understand the consistency with which they represent atmospheric uncertainty growth. Good correlation between all these systems is found in the extratropics for a lead time range from 48 hr to between 96 hr and 192 hr.
Douglas Wood, Suzanne Gray, John Methven, Mark Rodwell   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A new method to identify and explain sources of precipitation modification, illustrated for the western Netherlands

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study develops a method to identify the source areas of precipitation events, as illustrated for the western part of the Netherlands. Radar‐based precipitation data are traced back to their source areas and machine‐learning techniques are used to identify hypothesized causes: urban heat, surface roughness, and air pollution. We find that urban and
Jelmer van der Graaff, Gert‐Jan Steeneveld   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Anatomy of Cirrus Clouds: Results from the Emerald Airborne Campaigns [PDF]

, 2004
2000 FLORIDA AVE NW, WASHINGTON, USA, DC ...
Aspey, R, Bower, K N, Busen, R, Choularton, T W, Connolly, P J, Cook, C, Flynn, M, Gallagher, M W, Hacker, Jorg Michael, Harries, J, May, P, Whiteway, J   +11 more
core  

Intensity dependence of El Niño and La Niña evolution and mixed‐layer heat‐budget processes

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) intensity modulates the spatial, temporal, and dynamical evolution of events strongly. El Niño SST anomalies shift westward with decreasing intensity, while La Niña anomalies remain spatially fixed. Stronger events initiate earlier and persist longer than weak events.
Parya Adibi, Reza Rezaian, Omid Alizadeh, Tobias Sauter   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Effect of Pseudo‐Global Warming on the Weather‐Climate System of Africa in a Convection‐Permitting Model

Geophysical Research Letters
The African easterly jet (AEJ) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) can largely modulate high‐impact weather over Africa and the tropical Atlantic. How these features will change with a warming climate is just starting to be addressed due to global climate
K. M. Núñez Ocasio, Erin M. Dougherty
doaj   +1 more source

Diagnosing the 11‐year solar cycle's influence on the East Atlantic pattern

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A previously unidentified solar‐cycle response in the East Atlantic pattern is found in late winter at lag +3 years with larger amplitude than the NAO response. A statistically significant NAO response to the solar cycle is seen in late winter at lag 0 years.
Stergios Misios, Paula L. M. Gonzalez, Lesley J. Gray, Scott Osprey, Hedi Ma   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source